Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 21.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-0 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 21.15% ( | 24.69% ( | 54.16% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.88% ( | 53.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.3% ( | 74.7% ( |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.05% ( | 39.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.4% ( | 76.6% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.44% | 19.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.53% ( | 51.47% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Almeria | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 7.17% 2-1 @ 5.37% ( 2-0 @ 3.29% 3-1 @ 1.64% ( 3-2 @ 1.34% ( 3-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.33% Total : 21.15% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 12.74% ( 0-2 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 9.55% 0-3 @ 5.66% 1-3 @ 5.19% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-4 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 2.12% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.84% Total : 54.15% |