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La Liga

Villarreal logo
La Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 22, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de la Cerámica
Girona logo

Villarreal
1 - 0
Girona

Parejo (90+10' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 2-3 Real Madrid
Thursday, January 19 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Girona

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Girona 2-1 Sevilla
Saturday, January 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Girona had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Villarreal in this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawGirona
55.62% (0.436 0.44)22.65% (-0.093 -0.09)21.72% (-0.347 -0.35)
Both teams to score 55.45% (-0.17 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.96% (0.0020000000000024 0)44.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)66.42% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.31% (0.149 0.15)15.69% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.26% (0.28 0.28)44.74% (-0.282 -0.28)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.77% (-0.31999999999999 -0.32)34.23% (0.318 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07% (-0.343 -0.34)70.93% (0.339 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 55.62%
    Girona 21.72%
    Draw 22.65%
VillarrealDrawGirona
1-0 @ 9.95% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.21% (0.093 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.1% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.69% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.63% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 55.62%
1-1 @ 10.66% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.65%
0-1 @ 5.76% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.72% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.09% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 21.72%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Girona

Villarreal
82.5%
Draw
9.3%
Girona
8.2%
97
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2021 8pm
Fourth Round
Girona
0-1
Villarreal

Bustos (39'), Franquesa (90+2')
Pino (19')
Trigueros (17'), Coquelin (51'), Baena (73'), Raba (90+1')
Jan 22, 2020 8pm
Round of 32
Girona
0-3
Villarreal

Olivan (54'), Gumbau (89')
Funes Mori (54'), Cazorla (70'), Chukwueze (72')
Pena (53'), Quintilla (67')
Apr 14, 2019 5.30pm
Girona
0-1
Villarreal

Juanpe (74'), Pons (79')
Chukwueze (7')
Fornals (51'), Chukwueze (76'), Gaspar (87'), Caseres (90'), Funes Mori (90')
Aug 31, 2018 9pm
Villarreal
0-1
Girona

Trigueros (75'), Gaspar (85'), Sansone (89')
Stuani (54')
Alcala (23'), Benitez (56')
Mar 3, 2018 12pm
Villarreal
0-2
Girona

Raba (2'), Costa (34'), Bonera (39'), Gaspar (61')
Stuani (16'), Lozano (80')
Granell (42')