Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Girona had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Girona |
38.8% ( 0.12) | 28.01% ( -0.02) | 33.18% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 47.48% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.48% ( 0.06) | 58.51% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.91% ( 0.05) | 79.09% ( -0.05) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.7% ( 0.09) | 29.29% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.74% ( 0.12) | 65.26% ( -0.12) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.15% ( -0.03) | 32.84% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.58% ( -0.04) | 69.41% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 11.81% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 38.8% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.59% Total : 33.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
3 | GironaGirona | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 68 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
10 | Getafe | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 40 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 37 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 31 |
17 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 32 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |