Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Girona had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Girona |
| 38.8% ( | 28.01% ( | 33.18% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.48% ( | 58.51% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.91% ( | 79.09% ( |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.7% ( | 29.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.74% ( | 65.26% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.15% ( | 32.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.58% ( | 69.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 11.81% ( 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 2-0 @ 7.25% ( 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 4-0 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.62% Total : 38.8% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.62% ( 2-2 @ 4.5% ( Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 10.71% ( 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0-2 @ 5.96% ( 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 2-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.59% Total : 33.18% |