Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 30

Apr 8, 2023 at 3pm UK

Brentford Community Stadium

Brentford
1 - 2
Newcastle

Toney (45+1' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Raya (54' og.), Isak (61')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United return to third position in the Premier League table courtesy of a 2-1 victory over Brentford on Saturday afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions

Last Game: Man Utd 1-0 Brentford
Wednesday, April 5 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: West Ham 1-5 Newcastle
Wednesday, April 5 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-0 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Newcastle United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Newcastle United
28.65% ( -0.01)	25.07% ( -0)	46.29% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 54.61% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.53% (

0.01)

48.47% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.4% (

0.01)

70.6% (

-0.01)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.11%

30.89% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.82% (

-0)

67.18% (

-0)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.03% (

0.01)

20.97% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.27% (

0.01)

53.73% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Brentford 28.65%

Newcastle United 46.28%

Draw 25.06%

Brentford	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 7.61% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.47% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.14% 3-0 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 28.65%	1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.48% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.06%	0-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.28% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.9% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.12% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 46.28%