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Premier League | Gameweek 30
Apr 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Newcastle logo

Brentford
1 - 2
Newcastle

Toney (45+1' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Raya (54' og.), Isak (61')
Botman (28'), Isak (87')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United return to third position in the Premier League table courtesy of a 2-1 victory over Brentford on Saturday afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd 1-0 Brentford
Wednesday, April 5 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-0 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Newcastle United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.

Result
BrentfordDrawNewcastle United
28.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 25.07% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 46.29% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.53% (0.011000000000003 0.01)48.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.4% (0.010000000000002 0.01)70.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.11%30.89% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.82% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)67.18% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)20.97% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.27% (0.013999999999996 0.01)53.73% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 28.65%
    Newcastle United 46.28%
    Draw 25.06%
BrentfordDrawNewcastle United
1-0 @ 7.61% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-1 @ 6.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.73%
3-2 @ 2.14%
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 28.65%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 6.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 10.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.28% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 7.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 4.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 46.28%

How you voted: Brentford vs Newcastle

Brentford
21.0%
Draw
20.3%
Newcastle United
58.7%
143
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Newcastle
5-1
Brentford
Guimaraes (21', 56'), Murphy (28'), Almiron (82'), Pinnock (90' og.)
Toney (54' pen.)
Toney (45+1')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Brentford
0-2
Newcastle

Ajer (45+1'), Mbeumo (84'), Janelt (90+5')
Dasilva (11')
Joelinton (33'), Willock (44')
Dubravka (68')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Newcastle
3-3
Brentford
Lascelles (10'), Joelinton (39'), Saint-Maximin (75')
Wilson (46'), Saint-Maximin (75')
Toney (11'), Henry (31'), Lascelles (61' og.)
Ghoddos (42'), Norgaard (83')
Dec 22, 2020 5.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Brentford
1-0
Newcastle
Dasilva (66')

Shelvey (70')
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Brentford
1-2
Newcastle
Vibe (52')
Vibe (81')
Gayle (20'), Murphy (79')
Dummett (31')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City158342721627
6Aston Villa167452425-125
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Fulham166642422224
10Brentford157263128323
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton153661421-715
16Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1512121131-205


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