Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-0 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Newcastle United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | Newcastle United |
28.65% ( -0.01) | 25.07% ( -0) | 46.29% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.61% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.53% ( 0.01) | 48.47% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.4% ( 0.01) | 70.6% ( -0.01) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.11% | 30.89% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.82% ( -0) | 67.18% ( -0) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.03% ( 0.01) | 20.97% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.27% ( 0.01) | 53.73% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Brentford | Draw | Newcastle United |
1-0 @ 7.61% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.47% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.14% 3-0 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 28.65% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.48% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.28% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.9% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.12% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 46.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 73 |
2 | Arsenal | 32 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 75 | 26 | 49 | 71 |
3 | Liverpool | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 31 | 41 | 71 |
4 | Aston Villa | 33 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 68 | 49 | 19 | 63 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 69 | 52 | 17 | 50 |
7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 61 | 52 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 44 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 43 |
12 | Fulham | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 49 | 51 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Bournemouth | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 33 |
15 | Brentford | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Everton | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 27 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 46 | 70 | -24 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 33 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | 68 | -35 | 20 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 30 | 84 | -54 | 16 |
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