Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 41.49% ( | 27.31% ( | 31.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.63% ( | 56.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.61% ( | 77.39% ( |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% ( | 26.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.96% ( | 62.04% ( |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.87% ( | 33.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.28% ( | 69.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| West Ham United | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 1-0 @ 11.68% ( 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 2-0 @ 7.7% ( 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 4-0 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.48% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0-0 @ 8.86% ( 2-2 @ 4.7% ( Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0-2 @ 5.41% ( 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 2-3 @ 1.73% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.2% |