Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 29

Apr 2, 2023 at 2pm UK

London Stadium

West Ham
1 - 0
Southampton

Aguerd (25')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Match Report

Nayef Aguerd scores the only goal of the game as West Ham United edge past Southampton 1-0 to rise out of the Premier League's relegation zone.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between West Ham United and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

West Ham United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: West Ham 4-0 Larnaca
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southampton

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Southampton 3-3 Spurs
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 59.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 17.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for West Ham United in this match.

Result
West Ham United	Draw	Southampton
59.79%	22.64%	17.57%

Both teams to score 48.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.3%

49.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.29%

71.71%

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.76%

16.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.24%

45.76%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.05%

41.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.61%

78.39%

Score Analysis

West Ham United 59.78%

Southampton 17.57%

Draw 22.63%

West Ham United	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 12.38% 2-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 6.82% 3-1 @ 5.92% 4-0 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-2 @ 1.17% 5-0 @ 1.13% 5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2% Total : 59.78%	1-1 @ 10.75% 0-0 @ 6.81% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.63%	0-1 @ 5.92% 1-2 @ 4.67% 0-2 @ 2.57% 1-3 @ 1.35% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.82% Total : 17.57%