Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 30

Apr 8, 2023 at 3pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
2 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Traore (48'), Watkins (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa continue their brilliant run of form with a 2-0 victory over Nottingham Forest in the Premier League at Villa Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Last Game: Leicester 1-2 Aston Villa
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Nott'm Forest
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 19.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Nottingham Forest
57.38% ( 0)	23.28% ( -0.07)	19.34% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 49.79% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.25% (

0.38)

49.75% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.24% (

0.34)

71.76% (

-0.34)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.9% (

0.14)

17.1% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.7% (

0.24)

47.3% (

-0.24)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.06% (

0.3)

39.93% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.41% (

0.27)

76.59% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 57.37%

Nottingham Forest 19.34%

Draw 23.28%

Aston Villa	Draw	Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 12.06% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 57.37%	1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.28%	0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.19% Total : 19.34%