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Premier League
Aston Villa logo
Premier League | Gameweek 30
Apr 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Nottingham Forest logo

Aston Villa
2 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Traore (48'), Watkins (90+5')
Moreno (35'), Konsa (85'), Watkins (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Shelvey (36'), Awoniyi (85'), Mangala (90'), Toffolo (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa continue their brilliant run of form with a 2-0 victory over Nottingham Forest in the Premier League at Villa Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last Game: Leicester 1-2 Aston Villa
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Nott'm Forest
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 19.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawNottingham Forest
57.38% (0.00099999999999767 0) 23.28% (-0.073 -0.07) 19.34% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
Both teams to score 49.79% (0.331 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.25% (0.384 0.38)49.75% (-0.382 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.24% (0.342 0.34)71.76% (-0.34100000000001 -0.34)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (0.139 0.14)17.1% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.7% (0.243 0.24)47.3% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.06% (0.301 0.3)39.93% (-0.3 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.41% (0.274 0.27)76.59% (-0.27300000000001 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 57.37%
    Nottingham Forest 19.34%
    Draw 23.28%
Aston VillaDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 12.06% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 10.64% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.77% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.54% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.022 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 57.37%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 23.28%
0-1 @ 6.27% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.08% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.88% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 19.34%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Nott'm Forest

Aston Villa
88.0%
Draw
6.8%
Nottingham Forest
5.3%
133
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2022 8pm
Nott'm Forest
1-1
Aston Villa
Dennis (15')
Aurier (18')
Young (22')
Mar 13, 2019 7.45pm
Nott'm Forest
1-3
Aston Villa
Colback (3')
Ansarifard (29'), Milosevic (61'), Colback (86')
McGinn (7', 15'), Hause (61')
Hause (28'), Taylor (65'), Kodjia (96')
> Match Report
Nov 28, 2018 7.45pm
Aston Villa
5-5
Nott'm Forest
Abraham (11', 14', 36' pen., 71'), El Ghazi (75')
Bolasie (20'), Hutton (69'), El Ghazi (87')
Grabban (3', 82'), Carvalho (6'), Cash (22'), Lolley (51')
Yacob (65'), Darikwa (69'), Colback (78')
Figueiredo (68')
Jan 13, 2018 5.30pm
Nott'm Forest
0-1
Aston Villa

Lichaj (61'), Cash (63')
Hogan (18')
Elmohamady (71'), Terry (89')
> Match Report
Sep 23, 2017 5.30pm
Aston Villa
2-1
Nott'm Forest
Adomah (15'), Hourihane (60')
Taylor (95')
Murphy (52')
Bridcutt (42'), Brereton (59'), Mills (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Aston Villa167452425-125
7Bournemouth157352320324
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255
> Premier League Full Table


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