Premier League Gameweek 7
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Jack Harrison 20' goal
  • Luis Sinisterra 45'+1' goal
  • goal Orel Mangala 12'

Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
Arsenal 4 - 1 Leeds
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Rodrigo

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
Nott'm Forest 1 - 1 Wolves
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Taiwo Awoniyi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 54.71%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 21.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result

Leeds United 54.71% (-0.03)
Draw 24.01% (+0.01)
Nottingham Forest 21.28% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.51% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.71% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 50.29% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 27.76% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 72.24% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 13.15% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 86.84% (+0.02)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 81.73% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 18.27% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 50.67% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 49.32% (+0.04)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 61.8% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 38.2% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 25.04% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 74.96% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Leeds United 54.71%
Draw 24%
Nottingham Forest 21.28%
Leeds United
1-0 @ 11.86% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.71% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.5% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.34% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 54.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41%
0-0 @ 6.98% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24%
Nottingham Forest
0-1 @ 6.72% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.49% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.23% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.76% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 21.28%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 22
Feb 5, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Brennan Johnson 14' goal
Championship Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2020 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT City Ground
  • Sammy Ameobi 31' goal
  • Matty Cash 44' yellowcard
  • Samba Sow 83' yellowcard
  • Tyler Walker 90' goal
  • Adama Diakhaby 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stuart Dallas 35'
  • yellowcard Ezgjan Alioski 55'
  • yellowcard Ben White 72'
Championship Gameweek 2
Aug 10, 2019 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kalvin Phillips 28' yellowcard
  • Pablo Hernandez 59' goal
  • Adam Forshaw 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samba Sow 71'
  • goal Lewis Grabban 77'
  • yellowcard Jack Robinson 91'
Championship Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2019 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 0
FT The City Ground (Nottingham, Nottinghamshire)
  • Jack Colback 5' goal
  • Jack Robinson 14' yellowcard
  • Jack Colback 69' goal
  • Daryl Murphy 72' goal
  • Ben Osborn 76' goal
  • Tendayi Darikwa 81' yellowcard
  • redcard Kalvin Phillips 42'
  • goal Jack Clarke 52'
  • goal Ezgjan Alioski 64'
Championship Gameweek 15
Oct 27, 2018 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Elland Road (Leeds, West Yorkshire)
  • Kalvin Phillips 63' yellowcard
  • Kemar Roofe 82' goal
  • goal Jack Robinson 11'
  • yellowcard Lewis Grabban 61'
  • yellowcard Jack Colback 68'
  • yellowcard Joao Carvalho 88'
  • yellowcard Gil Dias 88'
Championship
Jan 1, 2018 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Pontus Jansson 45' yellowcard
  • Samuel Saiz 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eric Lichaj 69'
  • yellowcard Mustapha Carayol 85'