Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 54.71%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 21.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 54.71% ( | 24.01% ( | 21.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.71% ( | 50.29% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.76% ( | 72.24% ( |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.73% ( | 18.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.67% ( | 49.32% ( |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.8% ( | 38.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.04% ( | 74.96% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 1-0 @ 11.86% ( 2-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 3-0 @ 5.71% ( 3-1 @ 5.5% ( 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 4-0 @ 2.43% ( 4-1 @ 2.34% ( 4-2 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 3.31% Total : 54.71% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 2-2 @ 4.67% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 24% | 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0-2 @ 3.23% ( 1-3 @ 1.76% ( 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 1.54% Total : 21.28% |