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Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Molineux
Leeds logo

Wolves
2 - 4
Leeds

Castro (65'), Cunha (73')
Dawson (37'), Semedo (53'), Gomes (87')
Castro (84'), Nunes (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Harrison (6'), Ayling (49'), Kristensen (62'), Rodrigo (90+7')
Ayling (24'), McKennie (45+3'), Firpo (45+2'), Roca (75'), Meslier (90+12')

The Match

Match Report

Leeds United move into 14th position in the Premier League table with a 4-2 victory at Wolverhampton Wanderers on Saturday afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Wolves
Sunday, March 12 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 2-2 Brighton
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawLeeds United
40.96% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 25.7% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 33.34% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 54.75% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.71% (-0.113 -0.11)49.29% (0.12 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.65% (-0.101 -0.1)71.34% (0.107 0.11)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)23.83% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.99% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)58.01% (0.052 0.05)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)28.12% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (-0.117 -0.12)63.79% (0.126 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 40.96%
    Leeds United 33.34%
    Draw 25.7%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 9.61% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.89% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 40.96%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.7% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 8.5% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 33.34%

How you voted: Wolves vs Leeds

Wolverhampton Wanderers
71.2%
Draw
18.0%
Leeds United
10.8%
139
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Third Round
Wolves
1-0
Leeds
Traore (85')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Leeds
2-1
Wolves
Rodrigo (24'), Ait-Nouri (74' og.)
Harrison (20'), Adams (90+3')
Podence (6')
Mar 18, 2022 8pm
Wolves
2-3
Leeds
Castro (26'), Trincao (45+11')
Boly (6'), Jimenez (43')
Jimenez (53')
Harrison (63'), Rodrigo (66'), Ayling (90+1')
Struijk (45+10'), Rodrigo (68'), Cresswell (74'), Kenneh (90+3'), Forshaw (90+4')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Leeds
1-1
Wolves
Rodrigo (90+4' pen.)
Shackleton (65'), Rodrigo (90+4')
Hee-chan (10')
Moutinho (5'), Kilman (50'), Saiss (53')
Feb 19, 2021 8pm
Wolves
1-0
Leeds
Meslier (64' og.)
Neto (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal35255585285780
2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs33186967521560
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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