Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 27

Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
2 - 2
Brighton

Bamford (40'), Harrison (78')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mac Allister (33'), March (61')

The Match

Match Report

Leeds United twice come from behind to draw 2-2 with Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League on Saturday afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brighton 4-0 West Ham
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
25.8% ( 0.42)	22.98% ( 0.17)	51.21% ( -0.59)

Both teams to score 59.26% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.73% (

-0.41)

41.26% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.34% (

-0.42)

63.66% (

0.42)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.73% (

0.1)

29.26% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.77% (

0.13)

65.22% (

-0.13)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.77% (

-0.36)

16.22% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.27% (

-0.65)

45.73% (

0.65)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 25.8%

Brighton & Hove Albion 51.22%

Draw 22.98%

Leeds United	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.3% Total : 25.8%	1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.98%	1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.85% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.66% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.45% Total : 51.22%