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Evan Ferguson
30'
Stoke City vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 48.97%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Stoke City Goals
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 27.1%
2-2 @ 5.74% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.93%
0-1 @ 9.32% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 48.97%
