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Championship header 2

Championship

Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Stoke logo

Luton
1 - 0
Stoke

Ruddock (6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Cardiff
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in Championship

Stoke City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Stoke 3-1 Stevenage
Sunday, January 29 at 2pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawStoke City
46.23% (0.0020000000000024 0)25.55%28.21%
Both teams to score 52.77% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.25% (0.0020000000000024 0)50.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.35%72.65% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.06% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.78% (0.0019999999999953 0)55.22%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.6% (0.00099999999999056 0)32.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.08%68.92% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 46.23%
    Stoke City 28.22%
    Draw 25.55%
Luton TownDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.78%
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.18%
3-1 @ 4.66%
3-0 @ 4.14%
3-2 @ 2.63%
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.57%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 46.23%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 7.11%
2-2 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 8.01%
1-2 @ 6.85%
0-2 @ 4.52%
1-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 28.22%

How you voted: Luton vs Stoke

Luton Town
64.5%
Draw
22.6%
Stoke City
12.9%
31
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Stoke
2-0
Luton
Powell (3'), Lockyer (13' og.)

Osho (28')
Feb 23, 2022 7.45pm
Stoke
1-2
Luton
Baker (90+2')
Powell (80')
Hylton (56'), Jerome (82')
Campbell (31'), Cornick (52'), Lockyer (80'), Hylton (82'), Burke (90+1'), Adebayo (90+5')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Luton
0-1
Stoke

Campbell (71')
Brown (34')
Batth (48'), Skiri Oestigaard (51'), Smith (65'), Bursik (70'), Brown (80')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Stoke
3-0
Luton
Powell (20', 63'), Fletcher (78')
Brown (8')

Collins (31'), Rea (47')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Luton
0-2
Stoke

Hylton (20'), Ruddock (25')
Fletcher (46'), Powell (55')
Davies (20'), Batth (33')
rhs 2.0


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