Championship Gameweek 29
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Elijah Adebayo 88' goal

Luton Town vs Cardiff City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 21, 2023 3.00pm
Wigan 0 - 2 Luton
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Carlton Morris

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 21, 2023 3.00pm
Cardiff 0 - 1 Millwall
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Sory Kaba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result

Luton Town 57.01% (+1.29)
Draw 23.3% (-0.72)
Cardiff City 19.69% (-0.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.29% (+1.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.62% (+2.16)
Under 2.5 49.38% (-2.16)
Over 3.5 28.57% (+1.91)
Under 3.5 71.42% (-1.91)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 82.9% (+1.26)
Under 0.5 17.09% (-1.27)
Over 1.5 52.71% (+2.18)
Under 1.5 47.29% (-2.19)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5 60.66% (+0.63)
Under 0.5 39.34% (-0.63)
Over 1.5 23.96% (+0.58)
Under 1.5 76.04% (-0.58)

Score analysis

Luton Town 57%
Draw 23.3%
Cardiff City 19.69%
Luton Town
1-0 @ 11.87% (-0.57)
2-0 @ 10.49% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.79% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 6.18% (+0.22)
3-1 @ 5.76% (+0.30)
4-0 @ 2.73% (+0.21)
3-2 @ 2.69% (+0.19)
4-1 @ 2.55% (+0.23)
4-2 @ 1.19% (+0.13)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 57%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.33)
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.62)
2-2 @ 4.57% (+0.14)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.3%
Cardiff City
0-1 @ 6.27% (-0.46)
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.16)
1-3 @ 1.61% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% (+0.07)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 19.69%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 7
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Romaine Sawyers 85' goal
  • goal Luke Freeman 47'
  • goal Gabriel Osho 62'
Championship Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joel Bagan 55' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Cornick 71'
  • yellowcard Kal Naismith 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 20
Nov 27, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Glen Rea 42' yellowcard
  • Jordan Clark 64' goal
  • goal Rubin Colwill 10'
  • yellowcard Sean Morrison 38'
  • goal Sean Morrison 77'
  • yellowcard Alex Smithies 85'
Championship Gameweek 30
Feb 16, 2021 8.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • goal Harry Wilson 53'
  • goal Will Vaulks 57'
  • yellowcard Will Vaulks 65'
Championship Gameweek 14
Nov 28, 2020 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Curtis Nelson 4' yellowcard
  • Sean Morrison 5' goal
  • Mark Harris 9' goal
  • Kieffer Moore 59' goal
  • Sheyi Ojo 83' goal
Championship Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • goal Lee Tomlin 73'
  • yellowcard Sean Morrison 77'