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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Millwall |
| 43.44% ( | 27.13% ( | 29.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.68% ( | 56.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.65% ( | 77.35% ( |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.28% ( | 25.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.36% ( | 60.64% ( |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.59% ( | 34.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.88% ( | 71.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 12.01% 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 2-0 @ 8.16% ( 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 3-0 @ 3.69% ( 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 4-0 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 2.23% Total : 43.43% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0-0 @ 8.85% ( 2-2 @ 4.64% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0-2 @ 5.04% ( 1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 2-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.24% Total : 29.43% |