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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
The DW Stadium
Luton Town

Wigan
0 - 2
Luton

FT(HT: 0-1)
Cornick (11'), Adebayo (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Wigan Athletic and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 22.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 1-0 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawLuton Town
22.61% (0.016000000000002 0.02)26.79% (0.018000000000001 0.02)50.6% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 44.34% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.73% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)59.27% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.32% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)79.68% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)41.98% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.58% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)78.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)23.59% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.34% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)57.65% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 22.61%
    Luton Town 50.59%
    Draw 26.79%
Wigan AthleticDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 8.59% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.56%
3-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 22.61%
1-1 @ 12.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.9% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 14.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.97% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 4.97% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.32% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.0039999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 1.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 50.59%

How you voted: Wigan vs Luton

Wigan Athletic
23.3%
Draw
14.0%
Luton Town
62.8%
43
Head to Head
Jan 17, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Wigan
1-2
Luton
Aasgaard (46')
Power (45+2'), Whatmough (56'), Tilt (79'), Hughes (90+7')
Woodrow (51'), Adebayo (90+8')
Burke (89')
Jan 7, 2023 5.30pm
Third Round
Luton
1-1
Wigan
Cornick (45+1')
Potts (89')
Naylor (17')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Luton
1-2
Wigan
Morris (39')
Morris (70')
Lockyer (80' og.), Aasgaard (88')
Power (90+3')
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Luton
2-1
Wigan
McManaman (87'), Moncur (92')
Moncur (93')
Moore (35')
Dunkley (49'), Pilkington (54'), Garner (61')
Dunkley (91')
rhs 2.0


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