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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Millwall logo

Stoke
0 - 1
Millwall

FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 1-3 Stoke
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Burnley
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawMillwall
43.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.55% (0.0010000000000012 0)29.02% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 47.32% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.99%58% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.31% (0.0010000000000012 0)78.69% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5%26.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)61.68% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.38% (0.0019999999999953 0)35.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.61% (0.0010000000000012 0)72.38% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 43.42%
    Millwall 29.02%
    Draw 27.54%
Stoke CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.53%
2-1 @ 8.59%
2-0 @ 8.32%
3-1 @ 3.81%
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 43.42%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 9.44% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.44%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.54%
0-1 @ 9.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.68%
0-2 @ 5.03%
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 29.02%

How you voted: Stoke vs Millwall

Stoke City
46.0%
Draw
28.0%
Millwall
26.0%
50
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Millwall
2-0
Stoke
Cresswell (12', 65')
Cresswell (39')

Flint (44'), Kilkenny (83')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Stoke
2-0
Millwall
Brown (19'), Saville (70' og.)
Tymon (56'), Brown (65'), Thompson (84')

Ballard (85')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Millwall
2-1
Stoke
Bradshaw (51', 61')
Malone (32'), Smith (84')
Sawyers (20')
Souttar (45+1')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Stoke
1-2
Millwall
Brown (41')
Batth (37')
Wallace (36'), Bennett (71')
Wallace (90+3')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm