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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Millwall |
| 43.42% ( | 27.55% ( | 29.02% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.99% | 58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.31% ( | 78.69% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.5% | 26.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.31% ( | 61.68% ( |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.38% ( | 35.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.61% ( | 72.38% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% 2-1 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 8.32% 3-1 @ 3.81% 3-0 @ 3.69% ( 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.03% Total : 43.42% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 9.44% ( 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 9.74% ( 1-2 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0-3 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.02% Total : 29.02% |