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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Millwall logo

Stoke
0 - 1
Millwall

FT(HT: 0-1)
Flemming (9')
McNamara (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 1-3 Stoke
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Burnley
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Millwall

Although Millwall will consider themselves as favourites for this contest, it remains to be seen what their last two fixtures have taken out of them. With Stoke having improved of late, a share of the spoils could be played out in the Potteries. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawMillwall
43.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.55% (0.0010000000000012 0) 29.02% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 47.32% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.99%58% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.31% (0.0010000000000012 0)78.69% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5%26.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)61.68% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.38% (0.0019999999999953 0)35.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.61% (0.0010000000000012 0)72.38% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 43.42%
    Millwall 29.02%
    Draw 27.54%
Stoke CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.53%
2-1 @ 8.59%
2-0 @ 8.32%
3-1 @ 3.81%
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 43.42%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 9.44% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.44%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.54%
0-1 @ 9.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.68%
0-2 @ 5.03%
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 29.02%

How you voted: Stoke vs Millwall

Stoke City
46.0%
Draw
28.0%
Millwall
26.0%
50
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Millwall
2-0
Stoke
Cresswell (12', 65')
Cresswell (39')

Flint (44'), Kilkenny (83')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Stoke
2-0
Millwall
Brown (19'), Saville (70' og.)
Tymon (56'), Brown (65'), Thompson (84')

Ballard (85')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Millwall
2-1
Stoke
Bradshaw (51', 61')
Malone (32'), Smith (84')
Sawyers (20')
Souttar (45+1')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Stoke
1-2
Millwall
Brown (41')
Batth (37')
Wallace (36'), Bennett (71')
Wallace (90+3')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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