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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 39%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Millwall in this match.
Result | ||
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Millwall |
39% ( 0.07) | 28.45% ( -0.01) | 32.55% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 46.1% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.82% ( 0.03) | 60.17% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.63% ( 0.02) | 80.37% ( -0.02) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.01% ( 0.06) | 29.99% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.9% ( 0.07) | 66.1% ( -0.07) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.84% ( -0.03) | 34.16% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.15% ( -0.03) | 70.85% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 12.33% 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 39% | 1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.45% | 0-1 @ 11% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.32% Total : 32.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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