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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Millwall logo

QPR
1 - 2
Millwall

Martin (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Watmore (31'), Burke (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 39%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawMillwall
39% (0.073 0.07)28.45% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)32.55% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Both teams to score 46.1% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.82% (0.027000000000001 0.03)60.17% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.63% (0.021000000000001 0.02)80.37% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (0.055999999999997 0.06)29.99% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.9% (0.069000000000003 0.07)66.1% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.84% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)34.16% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.15% (-0.032 -0.03)70.85% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 39%
    Millwall 32.54%
    Draw 28.45%
Queens Park RangersDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.33%
2-1 @ 7.98% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.43% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.98% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 39%
1-1 @ 13.25%
0-0 @ 10.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.45%
0-1 @ 11% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 32.54%

How you voted: QPR vs Millwall

Queens Park Rangers
26.9%
Draw
23.1%
Millwall
50.0%
26
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Millwall
2-0
QPR
Bennett (48'), Burey (64')
Wallace (59'), Burey (65')

Dickie (45+3')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
QPR
1-1
Millwall
Dickie (31')
Wallace (11')
Ballard (15'), Wallace (43'), Saville (59')
Mar 17, 2021 7pm
QPR
3-2
Millwall
Austin (51'), Johansen (67'), De Wijs (86')
de Wijs (56'), Johansen (88')
Wallace (6'), Bennett (39')
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Millwall
1-1
QPR
Chair (53')
Ball (17'), Barbet (75'), Bonne (90+2')