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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Millwall logo

QPR
1 - 2
Millwall

Martin (82')
Armstrong (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Watmore (31'), Burke (78')
Honeyman (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Sunderland
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 1-2 Millwall

Both teams will be keen to claim all three points on Saturday as they bid to boost their chances of securing a Championship playoff spot. A tight affair is to be expected at Loftus Road, but we feel that Millwall will just edge it to pick up their first away win against QPR for 34 years. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 39%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawMillwall
39% (0.073 0.07) 28.45% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 32.55% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Both teams to score 46.1% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.82% (0.027000000000001 0.03)60.17% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.63% (0.021000000000001 0.02)80.37% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (0.055999999999997 0.06)29.99% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.9% (0.069000000000003 0.07)66.1% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.84% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)34.16% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.15% (-0.032 -0.03)70.85% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 39%
    Millwall 32.54%
    Draw 28.45%
Queens Park RangersDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.33%
2-1 @ 7.98% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.43% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.98% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 39%
1-1 @ 13.25%
0-0 @ 10.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.45%
0-1 @ 11% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 32.54%

How you voted: QPR vs Millwall

Queens Park Rangers
26.9%
Draw
23.1%
Millwall
50.0%
26
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Millwall
2-0
QPR
Bennett (48'), Burey (64')
Wallace (59'), Burey (65')

Dickie (45+3')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
QPR
1-1
Millwall
Dickie (31')
Wallace (11')
Ballard (15'), Wallace (43'), Saville (59')
Mar 17, 2021 7pm
QPR
3-2
Millwall
Austin (51'), Johansen (67'), De Wijs (86')
de Wijs (56'), Johansen (88')
Wallace (6'), Bennett (39')
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Millwall
1-1
QPR
Chair (53')
Ball (17'), Barbet (75'), Bonne (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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