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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Sunderland

Millwall
1 - 1
Sunderland

Cooper (59')
Cooper (32'), Bennett (37'), Saville (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cirkin (81')
Hume (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Sunderland

Millwall are still in the playoff hunt, but manager Rowett will realise his side have tended to tail off towards the end of recent campaigns, so the pressure is on the hosts to keep earning points this month. Sunderland will have an exciting look to them with youngster Gelhardt leading the line, but the Black Cats might struggle physically in attacking areas against a Lions side that impose themselves on their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MillwallDrawSunderland
46.13% (-0.064 -0.06) 26.52% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 27.36% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Both teams to score 49.27% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.99% (0.045000000000002 0.05)55.01% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.72% (0.036999999999999 0.04)76.28% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.19% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)23.81% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.02% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)57.98% (0.017999999999994 0.02)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.67% (0.078000000000003 0.08)35.33% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.91% (0.081 0.08)72.09% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 46.12%
    Sunderland 27.36%
    Draw 26.52%
MillwallDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 12.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.66% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 46.12%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.41% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 8.75% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-2 @ 6.53% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.55% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.27% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 27.36%

How you voted: Millwall vs Sunderland

Millwall
53.1%
Draw
21.9%
Sunderland
25.0%
32
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Mar 3, 2018 3pm
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
2-2
Millwall
Grabban (12'), Matthews (46')
Oviedo (62'), Cattermole (65'), Honeyman (69')
Saville (16', 20')
Nov 5, 2004 3pm
Millwall
2-0
Sunderland
Lawrence (45'), Wise (33' pen.)
Wise (7')

Arca (12'), Lawrence (32'), Robinson (41'), Whitley (70')
Oct 16, 2004 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd19125227111639
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6Middlesbrough209473425931
7Watford189362624230
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1961122114729
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall186752016425
14Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
15Coventry CityCoventry195682527-221
16Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
17Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
18Preston North EndPreston1931061826-819
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
20Queens Park RangersQPR193971826-818
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City1936101727-1015


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