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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Swansea logo

QPR
1 - 1
Swansea

Lowe (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fulton (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Queens Park Rangers 1-1 Swansea City

With both teams in a position where defeat would leave them well off the pace in the promotion hunt, we expect a tense encounter in West London. With that in mind, a low-scoring draw could play out, one which may not necessarily suit either side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawSwansea City
32.69% (0.3 0.3) 26.76% (0.041999999999998 0.04) 40.54% (-0.343 -0.34)
Both teams to score 51.12% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.13% (-0.104 -0.1)53.87% (0.104 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.67% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)75.33% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (0.14800000000001 0.15)30.81% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.91% (0.173 0.17)67.09% (-0.17200000000001 -0.17)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.89% (-0.229 -0.23)26.11% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.83% (-0.31 -0.31)61.17% (0.312 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 32.69%
    Swansea City 40.54%
    Draw 26.76%
Queens Park RangersDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.077 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.49% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.58% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.94% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.19% (0.035 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 32.69%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.05% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 10.8% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.25% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.25% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 40.54%

How you voted: QPR vs Swansea

Queens Park Rangers
46.0%
Draw
34.0%
Swansea City
20.0%
50
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Swansea
1-0
QPR
Piroe (21')
Grimes (34'), Paterson (39'), Piroe (77')
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
QPR
0-0
Swansea

Odubajo (69'), Johansen (76'), Austin (90+1')

Smith (29'), Cabango (47'), Downes (72'), Obafemi (90+4')
Downes (90+1')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Swansea
0-1
QPR

Fulton (23')
Dykes (89')
Dickie (55'), Austin (85'), Hamalainen (90+1'), Lumley (90+3')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
QPR
0-2
Swansea

Ball (79')
Ayew (44'), Lowe (54')
Dhanda (34')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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