Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 47.34%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.