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FA Cup

Fleetwood Town
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
QPR logo

Fleetwood
2 - 1
QPR

Nsiala (40'), Omochere (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Field (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Fleetwood Town and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Fleetwood
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Queens Park Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: QPR 1-1 Sheff Utd
Monday, January 2 at 8pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 47.34%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawQueens Park Rangers
27.29% (0.082000000000001 0.08)25.36% (0.041999999999998 0.04)47.34% (-0.131 -0.13)
Both teams to score 52.7% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.47% (-0.129 -0.13)50.52% (0.122 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.55% (-0.114 -0.11)72.44% (0.107 0.11)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)32.99% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.57% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64% (-0.113 -0.11)21.35% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.67% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)54.32% (0.163 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 27.29%
    Queens Park Rangers 47.33%
    Draw 25.36%
Fleetwood TownDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 7.81% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.69% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.33% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.6% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 27.29%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.04% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 10.87% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.31% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.79% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.32% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.85% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.67% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 47.33%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs QPR

Fleetwood Town
24.4%
Draw
14.6%
Queens Park Rangers
61.0%
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