/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fswalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fstolog.png)
-
Morgan Whittaker
2'
-
Josh Laurent
15'
-
Josh Laurent
20'
-
Lewis Baker
90'+4'
Swansea City vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F01%2Frussell-martin.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result
Swansea City
45.17%
▼
(-1.69)
Draw
25.8%
▲
(+0.55)
Stoke City
29.03%
▲
(+1.15)
Both Teams to Score:
52.51%
▼
(-0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.68%
▼
(-1.61)
Under 2.5
51.33%
▲
(+1.61)
Over 3.5
26.85%
▼
(-1.42)
Under 3.5
73.15%
▲
(+1.42)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5
77.33%
▼
(-1.44)
Under 0.5
22.67%
▲
(+1.44)
Over 1.5
43.68%
▼
(-2.18)
Under 1.5
56.32%
▲
(+2.18)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5
67.91%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
32.09%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
31.44%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
68.56%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
Swansea City
45.16%
Draw
25.8%
Stoke City
29.03%
Swansea City
1-0
@
10.79%
▲
(+0.23)
2-1 @ 9.11% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 8.01% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.30)
3-0 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.27)
3-2 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.17)
4-1 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.19)
4-0 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 45.16%
2-1 @ 9.11% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 8.01% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.30)
3-0 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.27)
3-2 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.17)
4-1 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.19)
4-0 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 45.16%
Draw
1-1
@
12.27%
▲
(+0.27)
0-0 @ 7.28% ▲ (+0.46)
2-2 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 25.8%
0-0 @ 7.28% ▲ (+0.46)
2-2 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 25.8%
Stoke City
0-1
@
8.27%
▲
(+0.53)
1-2 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.16)
0-2 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.30)
1-3 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 29.03%
1-2 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.16)
0-2 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.30)
1-3 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 29.03%
Ryan Bennett
58'