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Championship | Gameweek 29
Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Stoke logo

Swansea
1 - 3
Stoke

Whittaker (2')
Sorinola (28'), Grimes (45+2'), Cabango (46'), Manning (55')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Laurent (15', 20'), Baker (90+4')
Neil (29'), Gayle (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 2-1 Stoke City

Given the inconsistencies of both teams, this is a difficult match to call. Nevertheless, with Stoke having lost three away games in succession, we cannot back the visitors, with Swansea potentially edging this fixture by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawStoke City
45.17% (-1.686 -1.69) 25.8% (0.542 0.54) 29.03% (1.146 1.15)
Both teams to score 52.51% (-0.956 -0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.68% (-1.601 -1.6)51.33% (1.602 1.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.85% (-1.415 -1.42)73.15% (1.417 1.42)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.33% (-1.437 -1.44)22.67% (1.438 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.68% (-2.177 -2.18)56.32% (2.18 2.18)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.91% (0.028000000000006 0.03)32.09% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.44% (0.030000000000001 0.03)68.56% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 45.16%
    Stoke City 29.03%
    Draw 25.8%
Swansea CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.79% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-0 @ 8.01% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.298 -0.3)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.265 -0.27)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.168 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.189 -0.19)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.168 -0.17)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 45.16%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.27 0.27)
0-0 @ 7.28% (0.455 0.46)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.27% (0.523 0.52)
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.158 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.7% (0.3 0.3)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 29.03%

How you voted: Swansea vs Stoke

Swansea City
67.0%
Draw
22.7%
Stoke City
10.2%
88
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Stoke
3-0
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (47'), Baker (59' pen.), Brown (78')
Wilmot (45'), Brown (85')

Christie (26'), Grimes (29'), Ntcham (31'), Wolf (85')
Bennett (58')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Piroe (73')
Powell (15'), Clucas (53'), Skiri Oestigaard (60')
Clucas (53'), Tymon (81')
Mar 3, 2021 8.15pm
Stoke
1-2
Swansea
Powell (6')
Roberts (19'), Ayew (90+5' pen.)
Manning (71')
Oct 27, 2020 7.45pm
Swansea
2-0
Stoke
Fulton (30'), Palmer (87')
Grimes (53'), Palmer (85')

Smith (51'), McClean (84'), Gunn (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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