MX23RW : Tuesday, April 30 06:36:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Birmingham logo
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Huddersfield logo
Hull logo
Ipswich logo
Leeds logo
Leicester logo
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Plymouth Argyle
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Rotherham logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Southampton logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Swansea logo
Championship | Gameweek 29
Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Stoke logo

Swansea
1 - 3
Stoke

Whittaker (2')
Sorinola (28'), Grimes (45+2'), Cabango (46'), Manning (55')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Laurent (15', 20'), Baker (90+4')
Neil (29'), Gayle (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 2-1 Stoke City

Given the inconsistencies of both teams, this is a difficult match to call. Nevertheless, with Stoke having lost three away games in succession, we cannot back the visitors, with Swansea potentially edging this fixture by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawStoke City
45.17% (-1.686 -1.69) 25.8% (0.542 0.54) 29.03% (1.146 1.15)
Both teams to score 52.51% (-0.956 -0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.68% (-1.601 -1.6)51.33% (1.602 1.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.85% (-1.415 -1.42)73.15% (1.417 1.42)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.33% (-1.437 -1.44)22.67% (1.438 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.68% (-2.177 -2.18)56.32% (2.18 2.18)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.91% (0.028000000000006 0.03)32.09% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.44% (0.030000000000001 0.03)68.56% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 45.16%
    Stoke City 29.03%
    Draw 25.8%
Swansea CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.79% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-0 @ 8.01% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.298 -0.3)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.265 -0.27)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.168 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.189 -0.19)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.168 -0.17)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 45.16%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.27 0.27)
0-0 @ 7.28% (0.455 0.46)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.27% (0.523 0.52)
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.158 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.7% (0.3 0.3)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 29.03%

How you voted: Swansea vs Stoke

Swansea City
67.0%
Draw
22.7%
Stoke City
10.2%
88
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Stoke
3-0
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (47'), Baker (59' pen.), Brown (78')
Wilmot (45'), Brown (85')

Christie (26'), Grimes (29'), Ntcham (31'), Wolf (85')
Bennett (58')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Piroe (73')
Powell (15'), Clucas (53'), Skiri Oestigaard (60')
Clucas (53'), Tymon (81')
Mar 3, 2021 8.15pm
Stoke
1-2
Swansea
Powell (6')
Roberts (19'), Ayew (90+5' pen.)
Manning (71')
Oct 27, 2020 7.45pm
Swansea
2-0
Stoke
Fulton (30'), Palmer (87')
Grimes (53'), Palmer (85')

Smith (51'), McClean (84'), Gunn (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester453141089395097
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston45189185664-863
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!