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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Birmingham logo

Swansea
3 - 4
Birmingham

Piroe (23', 58'), Cullen (29')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hogan (14' pen.), Chong (55'), Jutkiewicz (90'), Trusty (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 21.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBirmingham City
54.3% (0.0040000000000049 0)23.72% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)21.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 52.32% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.64% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)48.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.5% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)70.5% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29% (0.0049999999999955 0)17.71% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)48.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.57% (0.0020000000000024 0)36.42% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79% (0.0019999999999989 0)73.21% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 54.29%
    Birmingham City 21.98%
    Draw 23.72%
Swansea CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.16%
2-1 @ 9.76%
2-0 @ 9.67%
3-1 @ 5.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.58%
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 54.29%
1-1 @ 11.27%
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.93%
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.72%
0-1 @ 6.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.7%
0-2 @ 3.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 21.98%

How you voted: Swansea vs Birmingham

Swansea City
74.3%
Draw
17.1%
Birmingham City
8.6%
35
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Birmingham
2-2
Swansea
Hogan (12'), Deeney (89')
Ntcham (30'), Grimes (45+2')
Manning (15')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
2-1
Swansea
Deeney (47'), McGree (82')
Gardner (53'), McGree (90+3')
Obafemi (77')
Bennett (52')
Apr 2, 2021 8pm
Birmingham
1-0
Swansea
Hogan (90+1' pen.)
Seddon (45+1')