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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Birmingham logo

Swansea
3 - 4
Birmingham

Piroe (23', 58'), Cullen (29')
Fisher (13')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hogan (14' pen.), Chong (55'), Jutkiewicz (90'), Trusty (90+7')
Mejbri (90+8'), Bacuna (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-1 Swansea
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Birmingham City

Swansea need to find some consistency if they are to finish inside the top six this season, and a clash with a stuttering Birmingham side is the type of game they must take maximum points from. Birmingham have lost their last five league matches but showed signs of improvement in their FA Cup defeat on Tuesday night, and we believe they will do enough to earn a point in South Wales on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 21.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBirmingham City
54.3% (0.0040000000000049 0) 23.72% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 21.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 52.32% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.64% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)48.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.5% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)70.5% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29% (0.0049999999999955 0)17.71% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)48.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.57% (0.0020000000000024 0)36.42% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79% (0.0019999999999989 0)73.21% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 54.29%
    Birmingham City 21.98%
    Draw 23.72%
Swansea CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.16%
2-1 @ 9.76%
2-0 @ 9.67%
3-1 @ 5.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.58%
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 54.29%
1-1 @ 11.27%
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.93%
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.72%
0-1 @ 6.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.7%
0-2 @ 3.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 21.98%

How you voted: Swansea vs Birmingham

Swansea City
74.3%
Draw
17.1%
Birmingham City
8.6%
35
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Birmingham
2-2
Swansea
Hogan (12'), Deeney (89')
Ntcham (30'), Grimes (45+2')
Manning (15')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
2-1
Swansea
Deeney (47'), McGree (82')
Gardner (53'), McGree (90+3')
Obafemi (77')
Bennett (52')
Apr 2, 2021 8pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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