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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 21.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 54.3% ( | 23.72% ( | 21.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.64% ( | 48.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.5% ( | 70.5% ( |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.29% ( | 17.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.64% ( | 48.36% ( |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.57% ( | 36.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.79% ( | 73.21% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% 2-1 @ 9.76% 2-0 @ 9.67% 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 3-0 @ 5.58% 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 4-0 @ 2.41% ( 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.57% Total : 54.29% | 1-1 @ 11.27% 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 2-2 @ 4.93% 3-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.72% | 0-1 @ 6.51% ( 1-2 @ 5.7% 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 1-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 1.79% Total : 21.98% |