Championship

Championship | Gameweek 39

Apr 2, 2021 at 8pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
1 - 0
Swansea

Hogan (90+1' pen.)
Seddon (45+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Reaction

Birmingham City manager Lee Bowyer pictured on March 17, 2021

Lee Bowyer hails "massive result" as Birmingham sink Swansea

Scott Hogan scored from the spot after team-mate Lukas Jutkiewicz had missed an earlier penalty.

Apr 2, 22:30

The Match

Match Report

Scott Hogan blasted his penalty past goalkeeper Freddie Woodman in the first minute of added time.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.76%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Swansea City
27.54%	27.48%	44.99%

Both teams to score 46.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.58%

58.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.98%

79.02%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.96%

37.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.17%

73.83%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.11%

25.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.13%

60.87%

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 27.54%

Swansea City 44.98%

Draw 27.48%

Birmingham City	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 9.52% 2-1 @ 6.39% 2-0 @ 4.73% 3-1 @ 2.12% 3-0 @ 1.57% 3-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 1.78% Total : 27.54%	1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 9.59% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.48%	0-1 @ 12.95% 0-2 @ 8.76% 1-2 @ 8.7% 0-3 @ 3.94% 1-3 @ 3.92% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-4 @ 1.33% 1-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.12% Total : 44.98%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Swansea

Birmingham City

5.0%

Draw

15.0%

Swansea City

80.0%