FA Cup
Jan 17, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT The New Lawn
  • Ben Stevenson 8' goal
  • goal Lukas Jutkiewicz 50'
  • goal Kevin Long 65'

Forest Green Rovers vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

Birmingham City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result

Forest Green Rovers 45.62% (+0.08)
Draw 25.99% (+0.05)
Birmingham City 28.39% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.53% (-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.59% (-0.26)
Under 2.5 52.41% (+0.26)
Over 3.5 25.91% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 74.09% (+0.23)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 77.07% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 22.93% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 43.3% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 56.7% (+0.12)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 66.86% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 33.14% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 30.26% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 69.74% (+0.26)

Score analysis

Forest Green Rovers 45.62%
Draw 25.99%
Birmingham City 28.39%
Forest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 11.19% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.24% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.05% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.49% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 45.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.6% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 25.99%
Birmingham City
0-1 @ 8.39% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 6.83% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 28.39%

Head to Head

Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 16, 2016 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Michael Morrison 11'
  • goal Jack Storer 81'
  • goal Diego Fabbrini 88'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 15, 2014 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Clayton Donaldson 18'