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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Birmingham logo

Bristol City
4 - 2
Birmingham

Semenyo (17'), Wells (21'), Sykes (47', 66')
Pring (33'), Semenyo (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Deeney (34' pen.), Khadra (76')
Long (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-3 Middlesbrough
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Birmingham City

The pressure is currently on these two relatively-big Championship sides as they bid to avoid a relegation battle this campaign. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see a draw played out, one which will not necessarily benefit either club. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawBirmingham City
42.43% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 27.86% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 29.71% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 46.78% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.14% (0.012999999999998 0.01)58.86% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.64% (0.010999999999999 0.01)79.36% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.58%27.42% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.1% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)62.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.45% (0.018999999999991 0.02)35.55% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.68% (0.021999999999998 0.02)72.32% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 42.43%
    Birmingham City 29.71%
    Draw 27.86%
Bristol CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 12.61%
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.64%
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.88%
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 42.43%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.75% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.86%
0-1 @ 10.08%
1-2 @ 6.75% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 29.71%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Birmingham

Bristol City
36.4%
Draw
40.9%
Birmingham City
22.7%
22
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Bristol City
1-2
Birmingham
Scott (48')
Klose (31'), Scott (86')
Chong (2'), Gordon (13')
Gardner (90+3')
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-3
Bristol City

Sanchez (45+1'), Sunjic (48'), Roberts (90+1')
Palmer (35'), Semenyo (62'), O'Dowda (76')
Wells (49'), Lansbury (66')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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