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Forest Green Rovers
League One | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
Port Vale

Forest Green
1 - 3
Port Vale

FT(HT: 1-0)
Odubeko (86'), Harrison (90+8' pen.), Politic (90+12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawPort Vale
36.74% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)27.02% (0.00099999999999767 0)36.24% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.56% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)54.43% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.19% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)75.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.46% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)28.53% (0.023999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.68% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)64.31% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (0.016999999999996 0.02)28.83% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31% (0.020000000000003 0.02)64.69% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 36.73%
    Port Vale 36.24%
    Draw 27.02%
Forest Green RoversDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 10.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.05% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.47% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.36% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 36.73%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 8.23% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 5%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 27.02%
0-1 @ 10.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.98% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 6.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 2.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.07%
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 36.24%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Port Vale

Forest Green Rovers
31.8%
Draw
9.1%
Port Vale
59.1%
22
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Dec 15, 2020 7pm
Port Vale
1-1
Forest Green
Stokes (34' og.)
Smith (22')
Collins (41')
Adams (75'), Collins (90+3')