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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Port Vale |
| 36.74% ( | 27.02% ( | 36.24% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.56% ( | 54.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.19% ( | 75.8% ( |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.46% ( | 28.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.68% ( | 64.31% ( |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.17% ( | 28.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.31% ( | 64.69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% ( 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 2-0 @ 6.47% ( 3-1 @ 3.36% ( 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 4-1 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 36.73% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 2-2 @ 5% Other @ 0.96% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 10.23% ( 1-2 @ 7.98% ( 0-2 @ 6.36% ( 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0-3 @ 2.64% ( 2-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 36.24% |