Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.