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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Preston North End logo

Birmingham
1 - 2
Preston

Jutkiewicz (83')
Mejbri (32'), Chong (45+1'), Bacuna (79'), Jutkiewicz (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ledson (10'), Browne (15')
Brady (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Preston North End

Birmingham needed that cup win against Forest Green to prevent a full-blown panic from commencing amongst supporters, but they must now back that victory up with a respectable performance and result in the Championship this weekend. Preston will be desperate to put that heavy defeat to Norwich behind them, and with key players returning to the fold for this game they should be good enough for a point at St Andrew's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawPreston North End
37.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 28.52% (0.0030000000000001 0) 34.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.17% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)60.21% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)80.4% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.88% (0.0019999999999953 0)31.12% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.56% (0.00099999999999767 0)67.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.03% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)32.97% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)69.55% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 37.17%
    Preston North End 34.3%
    Draw 28.51%
Birmingham CityDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 11.97%
2-1 @ 7.76%
2-0 @ 6.99% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 3.02%
3-0 @ 2.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.68%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 37.17%
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 10.25%
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.51%
0-1 @ 11.38%
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 6.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 34.3%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Preston

Birmingham City
45.8%
Draw
28.8%
Preston North End
25.4%
59
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Preston
0-1
Birmingham

Evans (83')
Colin (16')
Roberts (65'), Hogan (69'), James (90+5')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-0
Preston

Bela (45+1')

Bauer (39'), Storey (62'), Ledson (72')
Jan 20, 2021 7.45pm
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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