Birmingham logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round Replays
Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Blackburn logo

Birmingham
0 - 1
Blackburn

FT
(aet)
Trusty (100' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Birmingham City and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%).

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
35.51% (0.371 0.37)27.32% (-0.226 -0.23)37.17% (-0.145 -0.14)
Both teams to score 49.88% (0.729 0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.34% (0.898 0.9)55.65% (-0.897 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.19% (0.728 0.73)76.81% (-0.72799999999999 -0.73)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.12% (0.67999999999999 0.68)29.88% (-0.68 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.02% (0.815 0.82)65.97% (-0.815 -0.81)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.14% (0.351 0.35)28.86% (-0.352 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.27% (0.433 0.43)64.73% (-0.43300000000001 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 35.5%
    Blackburn Rovers 37.17%
    Draw 27.31%
Birmingham CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 10.41% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 6.29% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.15% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 35.5%
1-1 @ 12.94% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8.62% (-0.303 -0.3)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 10.71% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-2 @ 8.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.66% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.33% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.76% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.064 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 37.17%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Blackburn

Birmingham City
29.2%
Draw
26.4%
Blackburn Rovers
44.3%
106
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Fourth Round
Blackburn
2-2
Birmingham
Dack (33'), Rankin-Costello (46')
Rankin-Costello (22'), Morton (69'), Wharton (80'), Brereton Diaz (86')
Khadra (3')
Chong (40')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Blackburn
4-0
Birmingham
Buckley (6'), Khadra (52'), Brereton Diaz (60' pen., 79')
Buckley (41')

Sunjic (43')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Blackburn
5-2
Birmingham
Armstrong (27' pen., 71', 85'), Brereton (45+1'), Elliott (83')
Pedersen (22'), Jutkiewicz (50')
Leko (26'), Stirk (40'), Pedersen (67')