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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Blackpool | Draw | Stoke City |
33.21% ( 1.38) | 26.78% ( -0.04) | 40% ( -1.34) |
Both teams to score 51.21% ( 0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.18% ( 0.5) | 53.82% ( -0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.71% ( 0.42) | 75.29% ( -0.42) |
Blackpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.55% ( 1.18) | 30.44% ( -1.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.35% ( 1.39) | 66.65% ( -1.39) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.62% ( -0.49) | 26.38% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.46% ( -0.65) | 61.53% ( 0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Blackpool | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 3% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.21% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.77% | 0-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.21% Total : 40% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 88 | 56 | 32 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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