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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 59.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Blackpool had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Blackpool win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swansea City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swansea City.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Blackpool |
59.51% ( 0.41) | 22.49% ( -0.15) | 18% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 49.88% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.57% ( 0.21) | 48.43% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.43% ( 0.19) | 70.57% ( -0.19) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.1% ( 0.21) | 15.9% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.86% ( 0.38) | 45.14% ( -0.38) |
Blackpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.31% ( -0.18) | 40.69% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.73% ( -0.16) | 77.27% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Blackpool |
1-0 @ 11.89% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.14% Total : 59.49% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.9% Total : 22.48% | 0-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.99% Total : 18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 42 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 14 | 22 | 41 |
3 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
4 | Sunderland | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 37 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 34 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 31 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
11 | Bristol City | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 26 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 25 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 22 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 21 |
17 | Derby CountyDerby | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 21 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 21 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
21 | Portsmouth | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 16 |
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