Arsenal

4 - 1

Leeds

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 75.77%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 9.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.56%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.