Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Arsenal |
| 44.36% ( | 24.55% ( | 31.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.03% ( | 44.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.68% ( | 67.32% ( |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.62% ( | 20.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.21% ( | 52.79% ( |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.56% ( | 27.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.08% ( | 62.92% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Arsenal |
| 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 3-1 @ 4.85% ( 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 4-2 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 2.84% Total : 44.36% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 3-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.55% | 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0-2 @ 4.68% ( 1-3 @ 3.21% ( 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 1-4 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.94% Total : 31.09% |