Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 33

Apr 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Goodison Park

Everton
1 - 4
Newcastle

McNeil (80')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Wilson (28', 75'), Joelinton (72'), Murphy (81')

The Match

Match Report

Everton's hopes of retaining their Premier League status suffer a devastating blow as Newcastle United run riot in a 4-1 win at Goodison Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Everton and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Everton

All competitions

Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-0 Everton
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newcastle United

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle 6-1 Spurs
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Everton had a probability of 22.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Everton win it was 1-0 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Everton	Draw	Newcastle United
22.77% ( -0.07)	24.16% ( -0.08)	53.07% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 51.99% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.7% (

0.24)

49.3% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.65% (

0.22)

71.35% (

-0.21)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.81% (

0.07)

36.19% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.02% (

0.07)

72.98% (

-0.06)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.48% (

0.15)

18.52% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.25% (

0.25)

49.75% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Everton 22.77%

Newcastle United 53.06%

Draw 24.15%

Everton	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 1.84% Total : 22.77%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.15%	0-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.53% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.45% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 5.36% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.26% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 53.06%