Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Everton had a probability of 22.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Everton win it was 1-0 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Everton | Draw | Newcastle United |
22.77% (![]() | 24.16% (![]() | 53.07% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.99% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.7% (![]() | 49.3% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.65% (![]() | 71.35% (![]() |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.81% (![]() | 36.19% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.02% (![]() | 72.98% (![]() |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.48% (![]() | 18.52% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.25% (![]() | 49.75% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Everton | Draw | Newcastle United |
1-0 @ 6.81% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.84% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.46% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 1.84% Total : 22.77% | 1-1 @ 11.48% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.7% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.92% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.15% | 0-1 @ 11.3% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.69% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 9.53% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.36% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 3.26% Total : 53.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 10 | 17 | 30 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 13 | 20 | 29 |
3 | Liverpool | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 28 |
4 | Aston Villa | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 28 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 24 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 23 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 22 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Chelsea | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 16 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 15 |
13 | Crystal Palace | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
14 | Fulham | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 15 |
15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 13 |
16 | Bournemouth | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 28 | -14 | 12 |
17 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 9 |
18 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 5 |
19 | Everton | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 |
20 | Burnley | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 4 |
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