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Dwight McNeil
80'
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Callum Wilson
28'
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Joelinton
72'
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Callum Wilson
75'
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Jacob Murphy
81'
Everton vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Everton had a probability of 22.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Everton win it was 1-0 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Everton Goals
Newcastle United Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.98%
3-2 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 22.77%
0-0 @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 24.15%
1-2 @ 9.69% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 9.53% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 53.06%
