Premier League Gameweek 33
Man City
Apr 26, 2023 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Arsenal
  • Kevin De Bruyne 7' goal
  • John Stones 45'+1' goal
  • Kevin De Bruyne 54' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 90'+5' goal
  • goal Rob Holding 86'

Manchester City vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 15, 2023 5.30pm
Man City 3 - 1 Leicester
Goals scored
94
Top scorer
Erling Braut Haaland

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Apr 21, 2023 8.00pm
Arsenal 3 - 3 Southampton
Goals scored
88
Top scorer
Gabriel Martinelli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 59.75%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 21.1% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.23%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (5.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result

Manchester City 59.75% ▲ (+0.51)
Draw 19.15% ▼ (-0.06)
Arsenal 21.1% ▼ (-0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.37% ▼ (-0.50)

Goals

Over 2.5 71.88% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 2.5 28.12% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 3.5 51.12% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 3.5 48.88% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 4.5 31.77% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 4.5 68.23% ▲ (+0.40)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 90.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 9.4% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 68.37% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 31.63% ▼ (-0.05)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 74.37% ▼ (-0.57)
Under 0.5 25.63% ▲ (+0.57)
Over 1.5 39.47% ▼ (-0.78)
Under 1.5 60.53% ▲ (+0.77)

Score analysis

Manchester City 59.75%
Draw 19.15%
Arsenal 21.1%
Manchester City
2-1 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.15)
1-0 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.08)
4-2 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.04)
5-2 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.02)
4-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 59.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.76% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 19.15%
Arsenal
1-2 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.07)
0-1 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 21.1%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 12
Arsenal
Feb 15, 2023 7.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
Man City
  • Bukayo Saka 42' goal
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 24'
  • goal Jack Grealish 72'
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 82'
FA Cup
Man City
Jan 27, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Arsenal
  • Nathan Ake 64' goal
Premier League Gameweek 21
Arsenal
Jan 1, 2022 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Man City
  • Bukayo Saka 31' goal
  • Granit Xhaka 55' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 57' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 59' redcard
  • Bukayo Saka 63' yellowcard
  • Rob Holding 68' yellowcard
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 57'
  • goal Rodri 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Rodri 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Silva 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 3
Man City
Aug 28, 2021 12.30pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Arsenal
  • Ilkay Gundogan 7' goal
  • Ferran Torres 12' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 43' goal
  • Rodri 53' goal
  • Rodri 67' yellowcard
  • Ferran Torres 84' goal
  • yellowcard Cedric Soares 24'
  • yellowcard Sead Kolasinac 28'
  • redcard Granit Xhaka 35'
Premier League Gameweek 25
Arsenal
Feb 21, 2021 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Man City
  • Granit Xhaka 53' yellowcard
  • Hector Bellerin 87' yellowcard
  • goal Raheem Sterling 2'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Silva 51'
  • yellowcard Joao Cancelo 64'
EFL Cup
Arsenal
Dec 22, 2020 8.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT
Man City
  • Mohamed Elneny 23' yellowcard
  • Shkodran Mustafi 25' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Lacazette 31' goal
  • goal Gabriel Jesus 3'
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 54'
  • goal Phil Foden 59'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Silva 65'
  • goal Aymeric Laporte 73'

Form Data

Man City 3 - 0 Sheff Utd
Bayern 1 - 1 Man City
Man City 3 - 1 Leicester
Man City 3 - 0 Bayern
Southampton 1 - 4 Man City
Man City 4 - 1 Liverpool
Arsenal 3 - 3 Southampton
West Ham 2 - 2 Arsenal
Liverpool 2 - 2 Arsenal
Arsenal 4 - 1 Leeds
Arsenal 4 - 1 Crystal Palace
Arsenal 1 - 1 Sporting Lisbon

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