Premier League Gameweek 29
Man City
Apr 1, 2023 12.30pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Liverpool
  • Julian Alvarez 27' goal
  • Kevin De Bruyne 46' goal
  • Ilkay Gundogan 53' goal
  • Jack Grealish 74' goal
  • goal Mohamed Salah 17'

Manchester City vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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Match Analysis
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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 11, 2023 5.30pm
Crystal Palace 0 - 1 Man City
Goals scored
94
Top scorer
Erling Braut Haaland

Liverpool

All competitions
Last game
Mar 11, 2023 12.30pm
Bournemouth 1 - 0 Liverpool
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Mohamed Salah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 67.07%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 16.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.2%), while for a Liverpool win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result

Manchester City 67.07%
Draw 16.5%
Liverpool 16.43%

Both Teams to Score: 

68.94%

Goals

Over 2.5 77.32%
Under 2.5 22.67%
Over 3.5 58.18%
Under 3.5 41.82%
Over 4.5 38.66%
Under 4.5 61.34%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 93.56%
Under 0.5 6.43%
Over 1.5 75.92%
Under 1.5 24.08%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 73.68%
Under 0.5 26.32%
Over 1.5 38.55%
Under 1.5 61.45%

Score analysis

Manchester City 67.07%
Draw 16.5%
Liverpool 16.43%
Manchester City
2-1 @ 8.51%
3-1 @ 7.78%
2-0 @ 6.37%
3-0 @ 5.83%
4-1 @ 5.34%
3-2 @ 5.19%
1-0 @ 4.64%
4-0 @ 4%
4-2 @ 3.56%
5-1 @ 2.93%
5-0 @ 2.19%
5-2 @ 1.96%
4-3 @ 1.59%
6-1 @ 1.34%
6-0 @ 1%
Other @ 4.84%
Total : 67.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.2%
2-2 @ 5.68%
3-3 @ 2.31%
0-0 @ 1.69%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 16.5%
Liverpool
1-2 @ 4.14%
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-1 @ 2.26%
1-3 @ 1.84%
0-2 @ 1.51%
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 16.43%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Man City
Dec 22, 2022 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Etihad Stadium
Liverpool
  • Erling Braut Haaland 10' goal
  • Riyad Mahrez 47' goal
  • Nathan Ake 58' goal
  • goal Fabio Carvalho 20'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 48'
Premier League Gameweek 11
Liverpool
Oct 16, 2022 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Man City
  • Mohamed Salah 76' goal
Community Shield
Liverpool
Jul 30, 2022 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Man City
  • Trent Alexander-Arnold 21' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 83' goal
  • Darwin Nunez 90'+4' goal
  • Darwin Nunez 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Julian Alvarez 70'
  • yellowcard Ruben Dias 83'
FA Cup
Man City
Apr 16, 2022 3.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 3
FT
Liverpool
  • Gabriel Jesus 27' yellowcard
  • Jack Grealish 47' goal
  • Fernandinho 57' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Silva 90'+1' goal
  • goal Ibrahima Konate 9'
  • goal Sadio Mane 17'
  • yellowcard Fabinho 37'
  • goal Sadio Mane 45'
  • yellowcard Naby Keita 48'
  • yellowcard Sadio Mane 61'
Premier League Gameweek 32
Man City
Apr 10, 2022 4.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
Liverpool
  • Kevin De Bruyne 5' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 36' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 40' yellowcard
  • goal Diogo Jota 13'
  • yellowcard Andrew Robertson 28'
  • goal Sadio Mane 46'
  • yellowcard Thiago Alcantara 61'
  • yellowcard Fabinho 83'
  • yellowcard Virgil van Dijk 89'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Liverpool
Oct 3, 2021 4.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Man City
  • James Milner 42' yellowcard
  • Sadio Mane 59' goal
  • Diogo Jota 65' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Salah 76' goal
  • Fabinho 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruben Dias 26'
  • yellowcard Joao Cancelo 56'
  • goal Phil Foden 69'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Silva 78'
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 81'

Form Data

Man City 6 - 0 Burnley
Man City 7 - 0 RB Leipzig
Crystal Palace 0 - 1 Man City
Man City 2 - 0 Newcastle
Bristol City 0 - 3 Man City
Bournemouth 1 - 4 Man City
Real Madrid 1 - 0 Liverpool
Bournemouth 1 - 0 Liverpool
Liverpool 7 - 0 Man Utd
Liverpool 2 - 0 Wolves
Crystal Palace 0 - 0 Liverpool
Liverpool 2 - 5 Real Madrid

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