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Erling Braut Haaland
22'
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Erling Braut Haaland
24'
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Erling Braut Haaland
45'+2'
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Ilkay Gundogan
49'
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Erling Braut Haaland
53'
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Erling Braut Haaland
57'
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Kevin De Bruyne
90'+2'
Manchester City vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 57.55%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 21.55% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.08%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Manchester City Goals
RB Leipzig Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 8.08% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.78% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 57.55%
2-2 @ 5.89%
0-0 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.9%
0-1 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.37%
1-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 21.55%
Head to Head
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Josko Gvardiol
70'
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Riyad Mahrez
27'
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Kevin Kampl
14'
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Dominik Szoboszlai
24'
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Andre Silva
71'
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Tyler Adams
90'+1'
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Kevin De Bruyne
30'
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Riyad Mahrez
77'
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John Stones
81'
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Kyle Walker
83'
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Oleksandr Zinchenko
12'
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Nathan Ake
16'
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Nordi Mukiele
28'
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Riyad Mahrez
45'+2'
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Jack Grealish
56'
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Joao Cancelo
75'
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Gabriel Jesus
85'
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Christopher Nkunku
42'
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Lukas Klostermann
45'+1'
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Tyler Adams
49'
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Christopher Nkunku
51'
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Angelino
58'
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Christopher Nkunku
73'
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Angelino
79'
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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F07%2Fmanchester-city.jpg)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F09%2Fpep-guardiola_1.jpg)