Bundesliga Gameweek 24
RB Leipzig
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Borussia M'bach
  • Timo Werner 58' goal
  • Emil Forsberg 71' goal
  • Josko Gvardiol 80' goal

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Monchengladbach - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Mar 3, 2023 7.30pm
Dortmund 2 - 1 RB Leipzig
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Christopher Nkunku

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2023 2.30pm
Borussia M'bach 0 - 0 Freiburg
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Marcus Thuram

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 16.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 3-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result

RB Leipzig 64.96% ▲ (+0.34)
Draw 18.53% ▼ (-0.11)
Borussia Monchengladbach 16.5% ▼ (-0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.57% ▼ (-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.08% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 32.92% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 45.36% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 54.63% ▼ (-0.09)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 90.44% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 9.56% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 1.5 67.99% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 1.5 32.01% ▼ (-0.23)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5 66.97% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 0.5 33.03% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 1.5 30.38% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 1.5 69.62% ▲ (+0.24)

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 64.96%
Draw 18.53%
Borussia Monchengladbach 16.5%
RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.64% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.7% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 7.41% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.04)
5-2 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.7%
Total : 64.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.21% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 18.53%
Borussia Monchengladbach
1-2 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 16.5%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Borussia M'bach
Sep 17, 2022 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
RB Leipzig
  • Jonas Hofmann 10' goal
  • Jonas Hofmann 35' goal
  • Ramy Bensebaini 53' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 32
Borussia M'bach
May 2, 2022 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
RB Leipzig
  • Breel Embolo 17' goal
  • Lars Stindl 23' yellowcard
  • Jonas Hofmann 45'+2' goal
  • Nico Elvedi 64' redcard
  • Jonas Hofmann 77' goal
  • Kouadio Kone 88' yellowcard
  • Florian Neuhaus 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Jonas Hofmann 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josko Gvardiol 10'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Simakan 22'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 36'
Bundesliga Gameweek 15
RB Leipzig
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Borussia M'bach
  • Josko Gvardiol 21' goal
  • Andre Silva 33' goal
  • Willi Orban 59' yellowcard
  • Josko Gvardiol 81' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Simakan 89' yellowcard
  • Christopher Nkunku 90'+1' goal
  • Benjamin Henrichs 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Adi Hutter 24'
  • yellowcard Breel Embolo 41'
  • yellowcard Lars Stindl 42'
  • goal Ramy Bensebaini 88'
Bundesliga Gameweek 23
RB Leipzig
Feb 27, 2021 5.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Borussia M'bach
  • Marcel Sabitzer 41' yellowcard
  • Dayot Upamecano 43' yellowcard
  • Christopher Nkunku 57' goal
  • Yussuf Poulsen 66' goal
  • Alexander Sorloth 90'+3' goal
  • goal Jonas Hofmann 6'
  • goal Marcus Thuram 19'
  • yellowcard Nico Elvedi 49'
  • yellowcard Ramy Bensebaini 90'+3'
Bundesliga Gameweek 6
Borussia M'bach
Oct 31, 2020 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
RB Leipzig
  • Oscar Wendt 52' yellowcard
  • Florian Neuhaus 56' yellowcard
  • Hannes Wolf 60' goal
  • M. Rose 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Kampl 61'
  • yellowcard Hwang Hee-chan 69'
  • yellowcard Marcel Sabitzer 70'
  • yellowcard Christopher Nkunku 90'+4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
RB Leipzig
Feb 1, 2020 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Red Bull Arena
Borussia M'bach
  • Patrik Schick 50' goal
  • Timo Werner 74' yellowcard
  • Christopher Nkunku 89' goal
  • yellowcard Florian Neuhaus 18'
  • goal Alassane Plea 24'
  • goal Jonas Hofmann 35'
  • yellowcard Alassane Plea 60'
  • redcard Alassane Plea 61'
  • yellowcard Nico Elvedi 61'
  • yellowcard Breel Embolo 69'
  • yellowcard Max Grun 76'

Form Data

Dortmund 2 - 1 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 2 - 1 Frankfurt
RB Leipzig 1 - 1 Man City
Wolfsburg 0 - 3 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 1 - 2 Union Berlin
FC Koln 0 - 0 RB Leipzig
Borussia M'bach 0 - 0 Freiburg
Mainz 4 - 0 Borussia M'bach
Borussia M'bach 3 - 2 Bayern
Hertha Berlin 4 - 1 Borussia M'bach
Borussia M'bach 0 - 0 Schalke
Hoffenheim 1 - 4 Borussia M'bach