Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
RB Leipzig3 - 0Borussia M'bach
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 RB Leipzig
Friday, March 3 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Friday, March 3 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-0 Freiburg
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Borussia Monchengladbach
Despite missing several influential players through injury, Leipzig should be able to get themselves back on track with a victory on home territory this weekend. Gladbach have won just once on the road all season in the Bundesliga, so it would be a major surprise if they came away from the Red Bull Arena with all three points, even if they are likely to have threatening moments in transition. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 16.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 3-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
64.96% ( 0.33) | 18.53% ( -0.11) | 16.5% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 60.57% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
