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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Union Berlin logo

RB Leipzig
1 - 2
Union Berlin

Henrichs (24')
Halstenberg (60'), Schlager (69'), Werner (81'), Poulsen (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Haberer (61'), Knoche (72' pen.)
Knoche (57'), Laidouni (65'), Siebatcheu (90+1'), Leite (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Union Berlin

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Mainz
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 1-1 Union Berlin

 Both teams have amassed impressive unbeaten runs in recent weeks, and there is unlikely to be much splitting the two teams on Saturday, especially with Leipzig missing Olmo and Nkunku through injury. As such, given the amount at stake in terms of their pursuits to finish in the top four, we can envisage both teams settling for a point should the match be heading in that direction. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 18.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawUnion Berlin
58.96% (0.029000000000003 0.03) 22.58% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 18.45% (-0.026 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.42% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.86% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)48.13% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)70.29% (0.0010000000000048 0)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)15.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.71% (0.015000000000001 0.02)45.29% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.01% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)39.98% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.36% (-0.029 -0.03)76.64% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 58.95%
    Union Berlin 18.45%
    Draw 22.58%
RB LeipzigDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 11.71%
2-0 @ 10.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85%
3-0 @ 6.57% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.01% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.27%
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 58.95%
1-1 @ 10.74%
0-0 @ 6.39% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22.58%
0-1 @ 5.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 4.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.69% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 18.45%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin

RB Leipzig
51.6%
Draw
24.2%
Union Berlin
24.2%
91
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 5.30pm
Union Berlin
2-1
RB Leipzig
Siebatcheu (32'), Becker (38')
Ronnow (49'), Behrens (65')
Orban (83')
Kampl (30')
Apr 23, 2022 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
1-2
Union Berlin
Poulsen (46')
Olmo (87'), Adams (90+6')
Michel (86'), Behrens (89')
Behrens (90+1'), Ronnow (90+4')
Apr 20, 2022 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
RB Leipzig
2-1
Union Berlin
Silva (61' pen.), Forsberg (90+3')
Laimer (35'), Simakan (90+4')
Becker (25')
Knoche (43'), Khedira (80'), Michel (90+5')
Dec 3, 2021 7.30pm
Union Berlin
2-1
RB Leipzig
Awoniyi (6'), Baumgartl (57')
Khedira (64')
Nkunku (13')
Szoboszlai (65')
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Union Berlin
2-1
RB Leipzig
Friedrich (67'), Kruse (90+2')
Trimmel (53'), Schlotterbeck (76')
Kluivert (55')
Sabitzer (25')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317
> Bundesliga Full Table


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