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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 56.6%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.94%) and 0-1 (7.71%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 22.28% | 21.12% ( | 56.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.77% ( | 36.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.65% ( | 58.35% ( |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.65% ( | 29.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.68% ( | 65.32% ( |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.25% ( | 12.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.99% ( | 39.01% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 5.79% 1-0 @ 4.59% ( 2-0 @ 2.81% ( 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 3-1 @ 2.37% ( 3-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.14% Total : 22.28% | 1-1 @ 9.45% ( 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0-0 @ 3.74% ( 3-3 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.12% | 1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0-2 @ 7.94% ( 0-1 @ 7.71% ( 1-3 @ 6.68% ( 0-3 @ 5.45% ( 2-3 @ 4.1% ( 1-4 @ 3.44% ( 0-4 @ 2.81% ( 2-4 @ 2.11% ( 1-5 @ 1.42% ( 0-5 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 4.07% Total : 56.6% |