We said: Schalke 04 1-2 FC Koln
Neither team are likely to perform at their highest ceiling given the amount of injuries both managers have at their respective clubs, but Koln appear to have found their groove since returning to action last weekend.
Schalke are guaranteed to remain bottom of the table regardless of the result they pick up on Sunday, but we can envisage their position becoming even more perilous by succumbing to a fourth straight defeat.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.