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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Mar 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Borussia-Park
Freiburg logo

Borussia M'bach
0 - 0
Freiburg

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.67%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawFreiburg
44.07% (-2.319 -2.32)22.91% (0.124 0.12)33.02% (2.198 2.2)
Both teams to score 64.62% (0.637 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.63% (0.393 0.39)36.36% (-0.393 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.5% (0.429 0.43)58.49% (-0.428 -0.43)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.97% (-0.73099999999999 -0.73)17.02% (0.732 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.83% (-1.308 -1.31)47.16% (1.31 1.31)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.87% (1.443 1.44)22.12% (-1.441 -1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.5% (2.131 2.13)55.5% (-2.128 -2.13)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 44.07%
    Freiburg 33.02%
    Draw 22.9%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-0 @ 6.67% (-0.299 -0.3)
2-0 @ 5.9% (-0.417 -0.42)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.269 -0.27)
3-2 @ 3.97% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.48% (-0.339 -0.34)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.179 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.192 -0.19)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 44.07%
1-1 @ 10.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.72% (0.115 0.11)
0-0 @ 3.77% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.99% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.9%
1-2 @ 7.59% (0.31 0.31)
0-1 @ 5.68% (0.132 0.13)
0-2 @ 4.29% (0.275 0.28)
1-3 @ 3.82% (0.309 0.31)
2-3 @ 3.38% (0.197 0.2)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.223 0.22)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.172 0.17)
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.125 0.13)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 33.02%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs Freiburg

Borussia Monchengladbach
41.7%
Draw
25.0%
Freiburg
33.3%
36
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 4.30pm
Apr 23, 2022 2.30pm
Freiburg
3-3
Borussia M'bach
Grifo (49' pen.), Gunter (61'), Lienhart (80')
Eggestein (73')
Bensebaini (3' pen.), Embolo (13'), Stindl (90+3')
Plea (59'), Kone (65'), Stindl (79'), Bensebaini (88')
Dec 5, 2021 4.30pm
Borussia M'bach
0-6
Freiburg

Bensebaini (15'), Kone (24')
Eggestein (2'), Schade (5'), Lienhart (12'), Hofler (19'), Holer (25'), Schlotterbeck (37')
Demirovic (44')
Apr 3, 2021 7.30pm
Borussia M'bach
2-1
Freiburg
Thuram (53', 60')
Kramer (80')
Sallai (10')
Demirovic (31'), Holer (64'), Gunter (82')
Dec 5, 2020 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-2
Borussia M'bach
Lienhart (32'), Grifo (49' pen.)
Schlotterbeck (25'), Streich (90+3')
Embolo (23'), Plea (50')
Neuhaus (45+1'), Plea (76')