Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Vincenzo Grifo 60' goal
  • Vincenzo Grifo 84' goal
  • goal Chris Fuhrich 30'

Freiburg vs Stuttgart - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
Feb 4, 2023 2.30pm
Dortmund 5 - 1 Freiburg
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Vincenzo Grifo

Stuttgart

All competitions
Last game
Feb 5, 2023 2.30pm
Stuttgart 0 - 2 Werder Bremen
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Serhou Guirassy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 58.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 20.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.

Result

Freiburg 58.06% (+0.60)
Draw 21.42% (-0.24)
Stuttgart 20.51% (-0.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.82% (+0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.96% (+0.61)
Under 2.5 40.03% (-0.61)
Over 3.5 37.6% (+0.63)
Under 3.5 62.39% (-0.63)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 86.44% (+0.38)
Under 0.5 13.55% (-0.39)
Over 1.5 59.36% (+0.76)
Under 1.5 40.63% (-0.77)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5 66.88% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 33.11% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 30.28% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 69.71% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Freiburg 58.06%
Draw 21.42%
Stuttgart 20.51%
Freiburg
2-1 @ 9.91% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 8.96% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.6% (+0.10)
3-0 @ 5.97% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.65% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 3.3% (+0.10)
4-0 @ 2.98% (+0.09)
4-2 @ 1.82% (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.32% (+0.06)
5-0 @ 1.19% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 58.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.91% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 5.47% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.34% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.42%
Stuttgart
1-2 @ 5.48% (-0.08)
0-1 @ 4.96% (-0.15)
0-2 @ 2.74% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.02% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 20.51%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Borna Sosa 15' yellowcard
  • Chris Fuhrich 28' yellowcard
  • Naouirou Ahamada 46' yellowcard
  • Konstantinos Mavropanos 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Vincenzo Grifo 11'
  • yellowcard Roland Sallai 28'
  • yellowcard Yannik Keitel 84'
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nicolas Hofler 24' yellowcard
  • Hiroki Ito 37' goal
  • Kevin Schade 72' goal
  • yellowcard Borna Sosa 90'+4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2021 2.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 3
FT
  • Philipp Forster 13' yellowcard
  • Konstantinos Mavropanos 45' goal
  • Hamadi Al Ghaddioui 45'+2' goal
  • Mateo Klimowicz 55' yellowcard
  • goal Jeong Woo-yeong 3'
  • goal Jeong Woo-yeong 9'
  • goal Lucas Holer 28'
  • yellowcard Kevin Schade 89'
Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Jan 23, 2021 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Ermedin Demirovic 14' goal
  • Jeong Woo-yeong 37' goal
  • Yannik Keitel 66' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Schmid 74' yellowcard
  • goal Silla Wamangituka 7'
DFB-Pokal
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mercedes-Benz-Arena
  • Sasa Kalajdzic 15' goal
  • Pascal Stenzel 44' yellowcard
  • Mateo Klimowicz 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vincenzo Grifo 44'
Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Sep 19, 2020 2.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Mercedes-Benz-Arena
  • Daniel Didavi 25' yellowcard
  • Silla Wamangituka 44' yellowcard
  • Sasa Kalajdzic 71' goal
  • Silla Wamangituka 81' goal
  • goal Nils Petersen 8'
  • goal Roland Sallai 26'
  • yellowcard Lucas Holer 35'
  • goal Vincenzo Grifo 48'
  • yellowcard Lukas Kubler 90'+6'