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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
45.62% ( 0.15) | 23.93% ( -0.02) | 30.45% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 59.6% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.57% ( 0.04) | 42.43% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.17% ( 0.04) | 64.83% ( -0.03) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.19% ( 0.08) | 18.81% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.76% ( 0.13) | 50.24% ( -0.13) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.41% ( -0.06) | 26.59% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.18% ( -0.08) | 61.82% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.38% Total : 45.62% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 30.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
9 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
11 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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