Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 18, 2023 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Michael Gregoritsch 39'
  • goal Lucas Holer 51'

VfL Bochum vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Bayern 3 - 0 VfL Bochum
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Philipp Hofmann

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Freiburg 2 - 1 Stuttgart
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Vincenzo Grifo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.83%) and 0-2 (5.49%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result

VfL Bochum 37.03% (-0.02)
Draw 23.6% (-0.01)
Freiburg 39.36% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.97% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.09% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 38.9% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 38.78% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 61.22% (-0.03)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5 78.8% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 21.2% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 45.91% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 54.08% (-0.01)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 79.92% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 20.08% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 47.68% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 52.32% (-0.04)

Score analysis

VfL Bochum 37.03%
Draw 23.6%
Freiburg 39.37%
VfL Bochum
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.6% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.12% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.25% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.41% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.65% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.65%
4-2 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 37.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.6%
2-2 @ 6.6% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.26% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.83% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.6%
Freiburg
1-2 @ 8.51% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.83% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.49% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.55% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.53% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.94% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.83% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.42% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.18% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 39.37%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2022 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Vincenzo Grifo 48' goal
  • Roland Sallai 77' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Hofler 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kostas Stafylidis 42'
  • yellowcard Manuel Riemann 48'
  • yellowcard Thomas Reis 78'
Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Apr 16, 2022 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Lukas Kubler 5' goal
  • Roland Sallai 16' goal
  • Roland Sallai 53' goal
  • redcard Kostas Stafylidis 68'
  • redcard Thomas Reis 70'
DFB-Pokal
Mar 2, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Vonovia Ruhrstadion
  • Sebastian Polter 64' goal
  • Sebastian Polter 117' yellowcard
  • goal Nils Petersen 51'
  • yellowcard Lukas Kubler 117'
  • goal Roland Sallai 120'
Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Nov 27, 2021 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Anthony Losilla 32' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Polter 54' goal
  • Milos Pantovic 82' goal
  • Christopher Antwi-Adjej 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Philipp Lienhart 51'
  • yellowcard Lukas Kubler 58'