FA Cup
Man City
Mar 18, 2023 5.45pm
6
0
HT : 2 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Burnley
  • Erling Braut Haaland 32' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 35' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 59' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 62' goal
  • Cole Palmer 68' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 73' goal

Manchester City vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions

Burnley

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 19.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result

Manchester City 58.24% ▲ (+1.90)
Draw 21.88% ▼ (-1.10)
Burnley 19.88% ▼ (-0.81)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.16% ▲ (+2.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.95% ▲ (+3.71)
Under 2.5 43.05% ▼ (-3.71)
Over 3.5 34.55% ▲ (+3.57)
Under 3.5 65.45% ▼ (-3.58)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 85.5% ▲ (+1.91)
Under 0.5 14.49% ▼ (-1.91)
Over 1.5 57.51% ▲ (+3.56)
Under 1.5 42.48% ▼ (-3.56)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 64.51% ▲ (+1.31)
Under 0.5 35.48% ▼ (-1.32)
Over 1.5 27.75% ▲ (+1.34)
Under 1.5 72.25% ▼ (-1.34)

Score analysis

Manchester City 58.24%
Draw 21.88%
Burnley 19.88%
Manchester City
2-1 @ 9.94% ▲ (+0.08)
1-0 @ 9.93% ▼ (-0.97)
2-0 @ 9.59% ▼ (-0.27)
3-1 @ 6.4% ▲ (+0.46)
3-0 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.24)
3-2 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.35)
4-1 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.41)
4-0 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.30)
4-2 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.26)
5-1 @ 1.19% ▼ (-95.91)
5-0 @ 1.15% ▼ (-96.05)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 58.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.29% ▼ (-0.62)
2-2 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.22)
0-0 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.90)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-97.86)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.88%
Burnley
1-2 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.13)
0-1 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.71)
0-2 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.26)
1-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 19.88%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 31
Burnley
Apr 2, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Man City
  • Wout Weghorst 13' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 5'
  • goal Ilkay Gundogan 25'
Premier League Gameweek 8
Man City
Oct 16, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Burnley
  • Bernardo Silva 12' goal
  • Aymeric Laporte 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Kevin De Bruyne 70' goal
Premier League Gameweek 22
Burnley
Feb 3, 2021 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Man City
  • Dale Stephens 83' yellowcard
  • Joel Mumbongo 87' yellowcard
  • goal Gabriel Jesus 3'
  • goal Raheem Sterling 38'
  • yellowcard Ederson 76'
Premier League Gameweek 10
Man City
Nov 28, 2020 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Burnley
  • Riyad Mahrez 6' goal
  • Riyad Mahrez 22' goal
  • Benjamin Mendy 41' goal
  • Ferran Torres 67' goal
  • Riyad Mahrez 69' goal
EFL Cup
Burnley
Sep 30, 2020 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Turf Moor
Man City
  • goal Raheem Sterling 35'
  • goal Raheem Sterling 49'
  • goal Ferran Torres 65'
  • yellowcard Raheem Sterling 76'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Silva 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 30
Man City
Jun 22, 2020 8.00pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Burnley
  • Phil Foden 22' goal
  • Riyad Mahrez 43' goal
  • Riyad Mahrez 45'+3' goal
  • David Silva 51' goal
  • Joao Cancelo 62' yellowcard
  • Phil Foden 63' goal
  • yellowcard Josh Brownhill 43'

Form Data

Man City 7 - 0 RB Leipzig
Crystal Palace 0 - 1 Man City
Man City 2 - 0 Newcastle
Bristol City 0 - 3 Man City
Bournemouth 1 - 4 Man City
RB Leipzig 1 - 1 Man City
Hull City 1 - 3 Burnley
Burnley 3 - 0 Wigan
Blackpool 0 - 0 Burnley
Burnley 1 - 0 Fleetwood
Burnley 4 - 0 Huddersfield
Millwall 1 - 1 Burnley

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