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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 20.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Hull City win it was 1-0 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result | ||
Hull City | Draw | Burnley |
20.37% ( -0.23) | 25% ( 0.05) | 54.63% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 46.39% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.89% ( -0.46) | 55.1% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.64% ( -0.38) | 76.35% ( 0.38) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.09% ( -0.52) | 41.9% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.65% ( -0.45) | 78.35% ( 0.45) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.85% ( -0.11) | 20.15% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.57% ( -0.18) | 52.42% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Hull City | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.12% Total : 20.37% | 1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 13.52% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 10.83% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.79% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.03% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.51% Total : 54.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
4 | Sunderland | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 37 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 34 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 31 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
21 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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