Championship

Championship | Gameweek 37

Mar 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

KCOM Stadium

Hull City
1 - 3
Burnley

Tufan (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tella (43', 59', 73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Hull City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hull City

All competitions

Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Hull City
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burnley

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Burnley 3-0 Wigan
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 20.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Hull City win it was 1-0 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Hull City	Draw	Burnley
20.37% ( -0.23)	25% ( 0.05)	54.63% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 46.39% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.89% (

-0.46)

55.1% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.64% (

-0.38)

76.35% (

0.38)

Hull City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.09% (

-0.52)

41.9% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.65% (

-0.45)

78.35% (

0.45)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.85% (

-0.11)

20.15% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.57% (

-0.18)

52.42% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Hull City 20.37%

Burnley 54.62%

Draw 24.99%

Hull City	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.12% Total : 20.37%	1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.99%	0-1 @ 13.52% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 10.83% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.79% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.03% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.51% Total : 54.62%