Championship Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2023 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT KCOM Stadium
  • Ozan Tufan 90'+3' goal
  • goal Nathan Tella 43'
  • goal Nathan Tella 59'
  • goal Nathan Tella 73'

Hull City vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hull City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 11, 2023 3.00pm
Coventry 1 - 1 Hull City
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Oscar Estupinan

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Mar 11, 2023 3.00pm
Burnley 3 - 0 Wigan
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Nathan Tella

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 20.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Hull City win it was 1-0 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result

Hull City 20.37% (-0.24)
Draw 25% (+0.06)
Burnley 54.63% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.39% (-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.89% (-0.46)
Under 2.5 55.1% (+0.46)
Over 3.5 23.64% (-0.39)
Under 3.5 76.35% (+0.38)

Hull City Goals

Over 0.5 58.09% (-0.52)
Under 0.5 41.9% (+0.52)
Over 1.5 21.65% (-0.46)
Under 1.5 78.35% (+0.45)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 79.85% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 20.15% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 47.57% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 52.42% (+0.18)

Score analysis

Hull City 20.37%
Draw 24.99%
Burnley 54.62%
Hull City
1-0 @ 7.34% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 5.12% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 3.19% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 1.48% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 20.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 8.44% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.99%
Burnley
0-1 @ 13.52% (+0.19)
0-2 @ 10.83% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 9.42% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 5.79% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 5.03% (-0.04)
0-4 @ 2.32% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.05)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 54.62%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Turf Moor
  • Jay Rodriguez 34' goal
  • Josh Brownhill 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benjamin Tetteh 11'
  • goal Ozan Tufan 25'
  • yellowcard Alfie Jones 68'
  • yellowcard Callum Elder 90'+6'
Premier League
Feb 25, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tom Huddlestone 53' yellowcard
  • Tom Huddlestone 72' goal
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 40'
  • yellowcard Ashley Barnes 71'
  • goal Michael Keane 76'
  • redcard Ashley Barnes 92'
Premier League
Sep 10, 2016 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ben Mee 27' yellowcard
  • Steven Defour 73' goal
  • Scott Arfield 82' yellowcard
  • goal Robert Snodgrass 95'
Championship
Feb 6, 2016 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sam Vokes 77' goal
  • Sam Vokes 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Isaac Hayden 40'
Championship
Dec 26, 2015 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jake Livermore 57' goal
  • Abel Hernandez 66' goal
  • Sam Clucas 92' goal
Premier League
May 9, 2015 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nikica Jelavic 67' yellowcard
  • goal Danny Ings 62'
  • yellowcard Danny Ings 79'