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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
Watford logo

Burnley
1 - 1
Watford

Obafemi (90+5')
Roberts (12'), Barnes (58'), Obafemi (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pedro (32')
Kamara (35'), Kone (70'), Pedro (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 3-0 Preston
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Blackburn
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-0 Watford

Once again on home turf and with the visitors lacking any momentum, we can only envisage another dominant display from the Clarets on Tuesday, with Kompany's men seemingly cruising towards automatic promotion. We fancy Burnley to continue their impressive form at both ends of the pitch and add three more points to their tally at Turf Moor. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 67.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Watford had a probability of 12.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.18%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawWatford
67.08% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05) 20.29% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 12.63% (0.022 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.22% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (-0.058 -0.06)49.35% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)71.39% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.21% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)13.79% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.88% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)41.11% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.29% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)48.7% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.26% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)83.74% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 67.07%
    Watford 12.63%
    Draw 20.29%
BurnleyDrawWatford
1-0 @ 13.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 13.18%
2-1 @ 9.48%
3-0 @ 8.7% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.1% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
5-0 @ 1.71% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 67.07%
1-1 @ 9.57% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.41%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 20.29%
0-1 @ 4.83% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.44% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.74% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 12.63%

How you voted: Burnley vs Watford

Burnley
90.2%
Draw
6.1%
Watford
3.8%
132
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2022 8pm
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Watford
1-2
Burnley
Tarkowski (8' og.)
Kucka (87')
Cork (83'), Brownhill (86')
Tarkowski (48'), Collins (90+1')
Feb 5, 2022 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Bristol City216962626027
11Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
18Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
19Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth193882134-1317
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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