Championship Gameweek 32
Burnley
Feb 14, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Turf Moor
Watford
  • Michael Obafemi 90'+5' goal
  • goal Joao Pedro 32'

Burnley vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
Burnley 3 - 0 Preston
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Nathan Tella

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
Watford 1 - 1 Blackburn
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 67.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Watford had a probability of 12.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.18%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result

Burnley 67.08% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 20.29% ▲ (+0.03)
Watford 12.63% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.22% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.65% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 49.35% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 28.6% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 71.39% ▲ (+0.06)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 86.21% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 13.79% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 58.88% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 41.11% ▲ (+0.07)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 51.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 48.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 16.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 83.74% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Burnley 67.07%
Draw 20.29%
Watford 12.63%
Burnley
1-0 @ 13.3% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 13.18%
2-1 @ 9.48%
3-0 @ 8.7% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 67.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.57% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.41%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 20.29%
Watford
0-1 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 12.63%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 3
Watford
Aug 12, 2022 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vicarage Road
Burnley
  • Tom Cleverley 45'+2' goal
  • Hassane Kamara 81' redcard
  • Yaser Asprilla 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Brownhill 85'
Premier League Gameweek 35
Watford
Apr 30, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Burnley
  • James Tarkowski 8' goal
  • Juraj Kucka 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Tarkowski 48'
  • goal Jack Cork 83'
  • goal Josh Brownhill 86'
  • yellowcard Nathan Collins 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 17
Burnley
Feb 5, 2022 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Watford
  • Dale Stephens 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joshua King 20'
  • yellowcard Tom Cleverley 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Burnley
Jun 25, 2020 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Turf Moor
Watford
  • Dwight McNeil 71' yellowcard
  • Jay Rodriguez 73' goal
Premier League
Watford
Nov 23, 2019 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Burnley
  • Andre Gray 25' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Mee 30'
  • yellowcard James Tarkowski 45'
  • goal Chris Wood 53'
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 60'
  • goal Ashley Barnes 82'
  • goal James Tarkowski 88'
Premier League Gameweek 23
Watford
Jan 19, 2019 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Burnley
  • Gerard Deulofeu 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Mee 63'
  • yellowcard Phil Bardsley 82'

Form Data

Burnley 3 - 0 Preston
Burnley 2 - 1 Ipswich
Norwich 0 - 3 Burnley
Ipswich 0 - 0 Burnley
Burnley 2 - 1 West Brom
Burnley 1 - 0 Coventry
Watford 1 - 1 Blackburn
Reading 2 - 2 Watford
Middlesbrough 2 - 0 Watford
Watford 1 - 1 Rotherham
Watford 2 - 0 Blackpool
Reading 2 - 0 Watford