Championship Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Nathan Tella 15' goal
  • Nathan Tella 55' goal
  • Nathan Tella 58' goal

Burnley vs Preston North End - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Feb 4, 2023 12.30pm
Norwich 0 - 3 Burnley
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Nathan Tella

Preston North End

All competitions
Last game
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
Preston 1 - 2 Bristol City
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Ched Evans

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 72.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 9.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.6%) and 3-0 (10.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Burnley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Burnley.

Result

Burnley 72.03% (+0.05)
Draw 18.6% (-0.03)
Preston North End 9.37% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.7% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.34% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 50.66% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 27.43% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 72.57% (-0.04)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 87.27% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 12.73% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 61.03% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 38.97% (-0.06)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5 44.34% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 55.66% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 11.73% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 88.27% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Burnley 72.02%
Draw 18.6%
Preston North End 9.37%
Burnley
2-0 @ 15.05% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 14.6% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 10.34% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.06% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 5.33% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.12% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.2% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78%
5-1 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 72.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.56% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.08% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 2.58% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 18.6%
Preston North End
0-1 @ 4.15% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 2.51% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.22% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 9.37%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 10
Sep 13, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Deepdale
  • Jordan Storey 15' goal
  • goal Taylor Harwood-Bellis 10'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Sep 1, 2020 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 23, 2018 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Josh Harrop 22' goal
  • Callum Robinson 74' goal
  • goal Aaron Lennon 26'
  • goal Daniel Agyei 72'
  • goal Dwight McNeil 84'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 25, 2017 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Sean Maguire 65' goal
  • goal Jon Walters 21'
  • goal Sam Vokes 55'
Championship
Apr 22, 2016 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Joe Garner 45' yellowcard
  • Bailey Wright 60' yellowcard
  • Callum Robinson 96' yellowcard
  • goal Joey Barton 6'
  • yellowcard Dean Marney 43'
  • yellowcard Matthew Lowton 45'
  • yellowcard Andre Gray 73'
  • yellowcard Joey Barton 80'
  • yellowcard Ben Mee 82'
Championship
Dec 5, 2015 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joey Barton 72' yellowcard
  • Matt Lowton 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Will Keane 42'
  • yellowcard Marnick Vermijl 43'
  • goal Will Keane 64'
  • goal Daniel Johnson 86'