Championship

Championship | Gameweek 31

Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
3 - 0
Preston

Tella (15', 55', 58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Ipswich
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Preston North End

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Preston 1-2 Bristol City
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 72.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 9.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.6%) and 3-0 (10.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Burnley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Burnley.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Preston North End
72.03% ( 0.04)	18.6% ( -0.02)	9.37% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 38.7% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.34% (

0.04)

50.66% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.43% (

0.04)

72.57% (

-0.04)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.27% (

0.03)

12.73% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.03% (

0.05)

38.97% (

-0.05)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.34% (

-0.01)

55.66% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.73% (

-0.01)

88.27% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Burnley 72.02%

Preston North End 9.37%

Draw 18.6%

Burnley	Draw	Preston North End
2-0 @ 15.05% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 14.6% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.78% 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 72.02%	1-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.58% ( -0) Other @ 0.37% Total : 18.6%	0-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.51% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 1.5% Total : 9.37%