Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 72.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 9.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.6%) and 3-0 (10.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Burnley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Burnley.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Preston North End |
72.03% ( 0.04) | 18.6% ( -0.02) | 9.37% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 38.7% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.34% ( 0.04) | 50.66% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.43% ( 0.04) | 72.57% ( -0.04) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.27% ( 0.03) | 12.73% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.03% ( 0.05) | 38.97% ( -0.05) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.34% ( -0.01) | 55.66% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.73% ( -0.01) | 88.27% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Preston North End |
2-0 @ 15.05% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 14.6% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.78% 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 72.02% | 1-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.58% ( -0) Other @ 0.37% Total : 18.6% | 0-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.51% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 1.5% Total : 9.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 45 | 31 | 4 | 10 | 89 | 39 | 50 | 97 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 88 | 56 | 32 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
> Championship Full Table |