Championship

Championship | Gameweek 27

Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
1 - 0
Coventry

Beyer (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Bournemouth 2-4 Burnley
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Coventry City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Coventry 3-4 Wrexham
Saturday, January 7 at 5.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 65.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Coventry City had a probability of 14.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Coventry City win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Coventry City
65.7% ( 0.12)	20.11% ( -0.04)	14.18% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 49% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.78% (

0.01)

45.22% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.43% (

0.01)

67.56% (

-0.01)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.07% (

0.04)

12.93% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.62% (

0.08)

39.37% (

-0.08)

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.27% (

-0.11)

43.72% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.1% (

-0.09)

79.89% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Burnley 65.69%

Coventry City 14.19%

Draw 20.11%

Burnley	Draw	Coventry City
2-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 65.69%	1-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 20.11%	0-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.41% Total : 14.19%