Championship Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Jordan Beyer 82' goal

Burnley vs Coventry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Jan 2, 2023 3.00pm
Swansea 1 - 2 Burnley
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Nathan Tella

Coventry City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 1, 2023 3.00pm
Coventry 1 - 1 Bristol City
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Viktor Gyokeres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 65.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Coventry City had a probability of 14.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Coventry City win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result

Burnley 65.7% (+0.13)
Draw 20.11% (-0.04)
Coventry City 14.18% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

49% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.78% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 45.22% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 32.43% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 67.56% (-0.02)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 87.07% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 12.93% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 60.62% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 39.37% (-0.09)

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5 56.27% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 43.72% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 20.1% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 79.89% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Burnley 65.69%
Draw 20.11%
Coventry City 14.19%
Burnley
2-0 @ 11.82% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 11.56% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.07% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.67% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.13% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.41% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.69% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.4% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 65.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.57% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 20.11%
Coventry City
0-1 @ 4.68% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 3.96% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.93% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 14.19%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Nathan Tella 39'
Championship
Apr 14, 2012 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Charlie Austin 20' goal
  • Dean Marney 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Murphy 90'
Championship
Oct 22, 2011 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • David Bell 58' yellowcard
  • Cody McDonald 59' goal
  • Gael Bigirimana 81' redcard
  • Joe Murphy 87' yellowcard
  • Richard Wood 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jay Rodriguez 32'
  • yellowcard Marvin Bartley 53'
  • yellowcard Ross Wallace 67'
  • goal Ross Wallace 73'
  • yellowcard David Edgar 79'
Championship
Mar 15, 2011 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jay Rodriguez 18' goal
  • Jay Rodriguez 79' goal
  • Clarke Carlisle 81' yellowcard
  • Wade Elliott 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stephen O'Halloran 36'
  • goal Lukas Jutkiewicz 61'
  • goal Gary McSheffrey 75'
  • yellowcard Carl Baker 89'
Championship
Nov 20, 2010 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gary McSheffrey 35' yellowcard
  • James McPake 55' yellowcard
  • Michael Doyle 57' goal
  • yellowcard Michael Duff 62'
Championship
Feb 17, 2009 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Chris Eagles 90' goal
  • yellowcard Scott Dann 36'
  • goal Leon Best 44'