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FA Cup

Coventry City
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
The Coventry Building Society Arena
Wrexham AFC

Coventry
3 - 4
Wrexham

Sheaf (36'), Gyokeres (69'), Palmer (76')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Dalby (12'), Lee (18'), O'Connor (45+6'), Mullin (58' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Coventry City and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Coventry City

All competitions
Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Bristol City
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Wrexham

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Solihull 1-2 Wrexham
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Coventry CityDrawWrexham
40.03% (0.0010000000000048 0)26.07%33.9%
Both teams to score 53.67% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.25% (0.00099999999999767 0)50.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.36% (0.0019999999999989 0)72.65%
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.04% (0.0010000000000048 0)24.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39% (0.00099999999999767 0)59.61%
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52% (0.0010000000000048 0)28.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75%64.25% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 40.03%
    Wrexham 33.9%
    Draw 26.07%
Coventry CityDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 9.87%
2-1 @ 8.6%
2-0 @ 6.85%
3-1 @ 3.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 40.03%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.11%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 8.93%
1-2 @ 7.78%
0-2 @ 5.61%
1-3 @ 3.26%
0-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 33.9%

How you voted: Coventry vs Wrexham

Coventry City
58.8%
Draw
5.9%
Wrexham
35.3%
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